Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

This Polymarket asks whether Bitcoin will be up or down between 9:20PM and 9:25PM ET on April 14, based on the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream. It resolves to "Up" if the ending price is greater than or equal to the starting price during that 5-minute window; otherwise it resolves to "Down." PolySpotter is currently tracking $1,584 in smart money activity on this market, with 1 recent signal.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,584.

Notable Trades

Serial timer with 86% win rate

A proven high-win-rate serial timer placed a large near-resolution bet in an extremely quiet market, a strong pattern of actionable short-term edge.

  • This bettor wins 86% of their trades and is up $16.2k on 29 resolved positions.
  • They placed this bet just 7.6 minutes before resolution, and they have 8 similar last-minute bets across 7 markets.
  • The $1.6k order was nearly 9x this market's entire 24-hour volume, showing strong conviction in a very thin market.

$1,584 on Down | Wallet win rate: 81%

Top Holders

  1. 0x7da0...6be2 — Outcome 94013528, $1,800
  2. 0x6abe...d6a5 — Outcome 94013528, $1,769
  3. 0xad69...2daf — Outcome 94013528, $1,570
  4. 0x74a5...b6c8 — Outcome 94013528, $1,000
  5. 0x2ffb...e82a — Outcome 94013528, $1,000 (46% win rate)
  6. 0x42a2...e9e8 — Outcome 94013528, $600
  7. 0xc410...25cf — Outcome 94013528, $425
  8. 0xa910...72b0 — Outcome 94013528, $407
  9. 0xa25d...a2f4 — Outcome 94013528, $383
  10. 0xdf08...d24a — Outcome 94013528, $350

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

$1,584 tracked1 signal

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Notable Trades

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

2h ago

$1,584 on Down at 44¢