Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

This Polymarket tracks whether Bitcoin will be up or down during the five-minute window from 3:25AM to 3:30AM ET on April 15. It resolves to Up if the Chainlink BTC/USD price at 3:30AM ET is greater than or equal to the price at 3:25AM ET; otherwise it resolves to Down. Traders watching short-term Bitcoin prediction market odds use this market to gauge ultra-short-term price expectations ahead of resolution.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,564.

Notable Trades

Profitable serial BTC timer

A profitable serial timer with a strong historical edge bought Up less than 6 minutes before this 5-minute BTC market resolved, a pattern worth following despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $9,984 on $41,008 invested
  • They placed this bet 5.8 minutes before resolution and have made 4 similar last-minute bets across 4 markets
  • Bought Up at 57¢, suggesting they saw the short-term BTC move as better than a coin flip

$1,564 on Up | Wallet win rate: 78%

Top Holders

  1. 0xc58d...05d6 — Outcome 73369353, $2,728 (88% win rate)
  2. 0x7da0...6be2 — Outcome 73369353, $1,800
  3. 0xd4aa...d40c — Outcome 73369353, $1,266
  4. 0x1e3b...c850 — Outcome 73369353, $1,080 (82% win rate)
  5. 0x1e50...2473 — Outcome 73369353, $1,046
  6. 0x7e45...5b61 — Outcome 73369353, $979 (48% win rate)
  7. 0x42a2...e9e8 — Outcome 73369353, $600
  8. 0x0428...85b1 — Outcome 14281874, $447 (50% win rate)
  9. 0x674b...4f07 — Outcome 73369353, $447
  10. 0x116a...02a8 — Outcome 73369353, $426

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

$1,564 tracked1 signal

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Notable Trades

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

10h ago

$1,564 on Up at 57¢