Part of: Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6AM ET

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,824.

Categories: Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Bitcoin, 1H, Up or Down

Notable Trades

91% win-rate serial timer

A highly profitable serial timer with a 91% win rate bought Down 45 minutes before resolution after a sharp market move, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the short-duration format.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $1.93M lifetime across 837 bets.
  • They repeatedly bet near resolution, with 14 last-minute bets across 9 markets, suggesting strength in short-term timing.
  • They bought Down at 68¢ after a 20.6-point move, a clear high-conviction entry from a proven trader.

$4,417 on Down | Wallet win rate: 92%

Profitable serial timer

A highly active serial near-resolution trader with $170k realized profit bought Down just before expiry and moved the market sharply from 48¢ to 74¢.

  • This bettor has made 1,443 resolved bets and is up $170k, with a strong pattern of betting near resolution.
  • They bought Down about 59 minutes before expiry at 47-49¢, and the market quickly jumped to 74¢ after their trades.
  • Entry near 48¢ implied close to a 2x payoff if right, showing clear conviction rather than chasing an expensive price.

$2,407 on Down | Wallet win rate: 50%

Top Holders

  1. 0x4bce...8c3e Outcome 73134433, $25,419
  2. 0x0826...e098 Outcome 73134433, $1,887
  3. 0x4ad8...969f Outcome 73134433, $1,337
  4. 0xd4aa...d40c Outcome 73134433, $1,269
  5. 0x1437...acfe Outcome 73134433, $1,200
  6. 0xd7f4...831e Outcome 73134433, $1,107
  7. 0x49c0...108e Outcome 73134433, $995
  8. 0x154d...6bf9 Outcome 73134433, $928
  9. 0xbd74...a4cf Outcome 73134433, $886
  10. 0x9fac...c50d Outcome 73134433, $878

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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6AM ET

ResolvedBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6AM ET$6,824 tracked2 signalsCryptoCrypto PricesRecurringHide From NewBitcoin1HUp or Down

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Notable Trades

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6AM ET

45d ago

$4,417 on Down at 68¢

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6AM ET

45d ago

$2,407 on Down at 48¢

Related Theses