Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6AM ET
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,824.
Categories: Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Bitcoin, 1H, Up or Down
Notable Trades
91% win-rate serial timer
A highly profitable serial timer with a 91% win rate bought Down 45 minutes before resolution after a sharp market move, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the short-duration format.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $1.93M lifetime across 837 bets.
- They repeatedly bet near resolution, with 14 last-minute bets across 9 markets, suggesting strength in short-term timing.
- They bought Down at 68¢ after a 20.6-point move, a clear high-conviction entry from a proven trader.
$4,417 on Down | Wallet win rate: 91%
Profitable serial timer
A highly active serial near-resolution trader with $170k realized profit bought Down just before expiry and moved the market sharply from 48¢ to 74¢.
- This bettor has made 1,443 resolved bets and is up $170k, with a strong pattern of betting near resolution.
- They bought Down about 59 minutes before expiry at 47-49¢, and the market quickly jumped to 74¢ after their trades.
- Entry near 48¢ implied close to a 2x payoff if right, showing clear conviction rather than chasing an expensive price.
$2,407 on Down | Wallet win rate: 57%
Top Holders
- 0x1709...6420 — Outcome 10688714, $30,000
- 0x4bce...8c3e — Outcome 73134433, $25,419
- 0xe5f0...dc1d — Outcome 73134433, $21,997 (20% win rate)
- 0xe907...cff6 — Outcome 73134433, $18,591 (44% win rate)
- 0x986b...bdc6 — Outcome 10688714, $7,499
- 0xef10...0b43 — Outcome 10688714, $5,001 (57% win rate)
- 0xa806...2c7c — Outcome 10688714, $2,230
- 0x0826...e098 — Outcome 73134433, $1,887
- 0x4ad8...969f — Outcome 73134433, $1,337
- 0x64db...9a6f — Outcome 10688714, $1,322
