Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2PM ET
This Polymarket asks whether Bitcoin will finish the April 19, 2PM ET hourly candle up or down, using the Binance BTC/USDT 1-hour chart as the resolution source. It resolves to Up if the candle's close is greater than or equal to its open, and Down if the close is lower. The market is scheduled to resolve on April 19, 2026, with PolySpotter currently tracking $2,405 in smart money activity.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,405.
Categories: Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Bitcoin, 1H, Up or Down
Notable Trades
Profitable serial timer
Profitable serial timer with a large sample of near-resolution bets bought Down at 47¢ less than an hour before expiry, and the market has already moved in their favor to 40¢.
- This bettor has made 88 near-resolution bets across 73 markets and is up $177.8k overall
- They bought Down at 47¢ about 59 minutes before expiry, and that price is already at 40¢
- The wallet has 1,500 resolved bets and a positive long-term record, suggesting this is a repeatable edge
$2,405 on Down | Wallet win rate: 57%
Top Holders
- 0xef10...0b43 — Down, $8,256 (57% win rate)
- 0x575b...8e6f — Up, $4,500
- 0x0826...e098 — Up, $1,887
- 0x7d26...ff3b — Up, $1,332 (65% win rate)
- 0x2842...9bab — Down, $1,304
- 0x40f7...1f5e — Up, $1,250
- 0x0ae8...f370 — Up, $992
- 0xd7f4...831e — Up, $744
- 0x220e...8040 — Up, $720
- 0xe3f1...b7b0 — Down, $653
