Part of: Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

This Polymarket asks whether Bitcoin will be up or down during the April 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET window. Traders use this short-term BTC prediction market to speculate on minute-by-minute price direction, with smart money activity tracked at $1,253 across 1 signal. The market resolves based on Bitcoin’s price movement over that specific five-minute period.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,253.

Notable Trades

85% win-rate BTC bettor

A proven sharp bettor with an 85% win rate bought Down right after a 25.75-point move, making this a small but notable momentum-aligned trade worth watching.

  • This bettor wins 85% of their trades and is up about $48k across 119 resolved positions
  • They bought Down at 54¢ after the market had already moved 25.75 points, showing conviction behind the move
  • The stake is modest at $1.25k, but the track record makes this trade more worth following than a typical short-duration bet

$1,253 on Down | Wallet win rate: 85%

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Up
0¢
Down
100¢

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Notable Trades

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

2026-04-20 17:43 UTC

$1,253 on Down at 54¢

54¢→100¢↑46¢