Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

This Polymarket asks whether Bitcoin will be up or down from 2:05PM to 2:10PM ET on April 20, based on the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream. It resolves to Up if the ending price is greater than or equal to the starting price, and Down if the ending price is lower. Traders watching short-term Bitcoin prediction market odds use this market to track 5-minute price direction into the 6:10PM UTC resolution.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,040.

Notable Trades

85% winner betting late

A highly profitable wallet with an 85% win rate placed a $2k bet on Down just 5 minutes before resolution, a pattern consistent with a real edge in short-dated BTC markets.

  • This bettor wins 85% of their trades and is up $51.8k across 122 resolved positions
  • They bought Down with 5.1 minutes left, a timing pattern that often signals a real edge near settlement
  • Entry at 54¢ is a meaningful size for this short market and lines up with the wallet's usual winning price range

$2,040 on Down | Wallet win rate: 85%

Top Holders

  1. 0x699f...cb4d — Outcome 64070072, $5,201 (85% win rate)
  2. 0xf981...520e — Outcome 64070072, $3,713
  3. 0xa3cf...0de1 — Outcome 64070072, $2,000
  4. 0xe3f1...b7b0 — Outcome 64070072, $1,773
  5. 0x7da0...6be2 — Outcome 64070072, $1,600
  6. 0xe4f9...458e — Outcome 55958082, $1,010
  7. 0xa8f7...65be — Outcome 64070072, $682
  8. 0x2a02...d404 — Outcome 55958082, $611
  9. 0x42a2...e9e8 — Outcome 64070072, $600
  10. 0x5540...fbf4 — Outcome 55958082, $592

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

$2,040 tracked1 signal

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Notable Trades

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

2h ago

$2,040 on Down at 54¢