Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

This Polymarket asks whether Bitcoin will be up or down between 10:20AM and 10:25AM ET on April 21. It resolves to Up if the Chainlink BTC/USD price at 10:25AM ET is greater than or equal to the price at 10:20AM ET; otherwise it resolves to Down. The market settles on April 21, 2026, and currently has limited but notable smart money activity, with $1,013 tracked across 1 signal.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,013.

Notable Trades

Serial timer with 86% win rate

A proven high-edge serial timer with an 86% win rate bought Down just 4.4 minutes before resolution, a strong pattern worth following despite the small stake.

  • This bettor wins 86% of their trades and is up $51k across 80 resolved positions
  • They placed this bet just 4.4 minutes before resolution, and they have a repeat pattern of late bets across 3 markets
  • Bought Down at 61¢, suggesting they saw a short-term edge even at a relatively high implied probability

$1,013 on Down | Wallet win rate: 86%

Top Holders

  1. 0x432d...b5a6 — Outcome 91931557, $4,711
  2. 0xf981...520e — Outcome 91931557, $2,359 (74% win rate)
  3. 0x7da0...6be2 — Outcome 91931557, $1,600
  4. 0x5245...62ad — Outcome 91931557, $1,022
  5. 0x6d1b...2246 — Outcome 91931557, $970
  6. 0xb8aa...a3c7 — Outcome 91931557, $649 (98% win rate)
  7. 0xa58b...8541 — Outcome 91931557, $605
  8. 0xe293...4659 — Outcome 91931557, $600
  9. 0xa3cf...0de1 — Outcome 91931557, $500
  10. 0xa8f7...65be — Outcome 10853583, $435

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

$1,013 tracked1 signal

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Notable Trades

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

4h ago

$1,013 on Down at 61¢