Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
This Polymarket asks whether Bitcoin will be up or down between 4:50AM and 4:55AM ET on April 21. It resolves to Up if the Chainlink BTC/USD price at 4:55AM ET is greater than or equal to the price at 4:50AM ET; otherwise it resolves to Down. The market is a short-term 5-minute Bitcoin price prediction market and is scheduled to resolve on April 21, 2026.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,332.
Notable Trades
94% win-rate timer
A highly profitable wallet with a 94% win rate placed a last-minutes bet on Down in a short-horizon BTC market, making this a strong signal despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 94% of their trades and is up $71.6k across 669 resolved positions
- The bet was placed about 5 minutes before resolution, a pattern that can matter in ultra-short BTC markets
- They bought Down at 64¢, meaning they likely saw the true odds as meaningfully higher
$1,332 on Down | Wallet win rate: 94%
Top Holders
- 0xa098...b9f3 — Outcome 38073180, $18,561
- 0x168e...b971 — Outcome 38073180, $9,353
- 0x34b3...0406 — Outcome 38073180, $8,883
- 0xb77b...70a5 — Outcome 56695712, $5,550 (100% win rate)
- 0xe3f1...b7b0 — Outcome 38073180, $4,569
- 0x0bc5...e606 — Outcome 38073180, $1,600
- 0x7da0...6be2 — Outcome 38073180, $1,600
- 0x8b67...ad09 — Outcome 56695712, $1,000
- 0x55e0...1141 — Outcome 38073180, $865
- 0x2b67...3d2a — Outcome 38073180, $718
