Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8PM ET
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,205.
Categories: Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Bitcoin, 1H, Up or Down
Notable Trades
Profitable serial timer
A highly active serial near-resolution trader with over 26,000 resolved bets and $303k profit bought Down 7.8 minutes before expiry, suggesting a repeatable short-term edge despite only a modest raw win rate.
- This wallet has made 119 near-resolution bets across 103 markets and is up $303k overall.
- The trade came 7.8 minutes before resolution, a pattern that can matter more than the wallet's 51% raw win rate.
- They bought Down at 75¢, showing strong conviction late even though the market has since moved to 62¢.
$1,003 on Down | Wallet win rate: 51%
Profitable serial timer
A highly active and profitable serial timer with $184k P&L bought Up less than an hour before resolution, a repeat pattern that suggests a real edge in short-dated BTC markets.
- This bettor has made 102 near-resolution bets across 83 markets and is up $184,573 overall.
- They have 1,565 resolved bets with a 56% win rate, which is strong given their average entry price of 57¢.
- They bought Up at 47¢ less than an hour before expiry, a price that offered better odds than the current 42¢ market.
$1,203 on Up | Wallet win rate: 56%
Top Holders
- 0xd938...0481 — Outcome 24162703, $3,310
- 0x575b...8e6f — Outcome 24162703, $3,000
- 0xd7f4...831e — Outcome 24162703, $2,742
- 0xa496...b80e — Outcome 24162703, $2,695
- 0x45ef...3bcf — Outcome 24162703, $2,407
- 0x9fac...c50d — Outcome 24162703, $1,861
- 0xf539...42a3 — Outcome 24162703, $1,803
- 0x4ad8...969f — Outcome 24162703, $1,439
- 0xc131...f5d5 — Outcome 24162703, $1,348
- 0x437e...3013 — Outcome 24162703, $1,111
