What does the Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11AM ET market predict?

This market predicts whether the Binance BTC/USDT one-hour candle starting at 11AM ET on April 22 will close up or down versus its opening price. Up wins if the close is greater than or equal to the open, while Down wins if the close is lower.

How is this Bitcoin prediction market resolved?

Resolution is based on Binance BTC/USDT data for the relevant 1H candle. The official outcome uses the open and close values shown for that candle on Binance once the data is finalized.

When does this Polymarket resolve?

The market resolution date is April 22, 2026 at 16:00:00+00:00. That corresponds to the completion and settlement process for the one-hour Bitcoin candle referenced in the market title.

What counts as an Up result in this market?

An Up result happens when the BTC/USDT candle closes at the same price or higher than it opened. Even a flat candle where close equals open resolves to Up under this market's rules.

Is there any smart money activity on this Bitcoin market?

Yes. PolySpotter is tracking $4,485 in smart money on this market, with 1 smart money signal recently flagged, including an alert tied to a 91% win-rate serial timer.

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11AM ET

This Polymarket asks whether Bitcoin will finish the April 22, 11AM ET one-hour candle higher or lower than it opened. It resolves to Up if the Binance BTC/USDT 1H candle closes at or above its open price, and Down if it closes below. The market resolves on April 22, 2026, with PolySpotter currently tracking $4,485 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $4,485.

Categories: Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Bitcoin, 1H, Up or Down

Notable Trades

91% win-rate serial timer

A highly profitable serial timer with a 91% win rate put nearly $4.5k into Down about 52 minutes before resolution, matching a long-running pattern of successful near-expiry and cross-market trading.

This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $2.0M lifetime across 871 bets.
They placed nearly $4.5k on Down about 52 minutes before resolution, a pattern they have repeated 17 times across 11 markets.
This wallet has traded 229 markets across 175 events, so this looks like a seasoned short-term edge rather than a one-off bet.

$4,485 on Down | Wallet win rate: 91%