Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4AM ET
This Polymarket asks whether Bitcoin will finish the BTC/USDT 1-hour candle starting at April 22, 4:00 AM ET higher or lower than it opened. It resolves to Up if the Binance BTC/USDT 1H candle closes at or above its open, and Down if it closes below. The market resolves on April 22, 2026 based on Binance candle data.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,203.
Categories: Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Bitcoin, 1H, Up or Down
Notable Trades
Profitable serial timer
A highly active and profitable serial timer placed another near-resolution BTC hourly bet, a repeat pattern that has generated strong lifetime profits.
- This bettor has made 103 near-resolution bets and is up $182.7k overall.
- They bought 59 minutes before resolution, a timing pattern that has repeated across 84 markets.
- They entered Up at 48¢ and the market is already at 52¢, showing early favorable movement.
$1,203 on Up | Wallet win rate: 56%
Top Holders
- 0x5fe1...0981 — Down, $20,818 (47% win rate)
- 0x2334...9a9f — Up, $8,098
- 0xe1d6...907c — Up, $4,822 (51% win rate)
- 0x224f...ef71 — Up, $3,835
- 0xef10...0b43 — Up, $3,424 (56% win rate)
- 0xa806...2c7c — Up, $2,941
- 0x8d1d...ed4a — Up, $2,000
- 0xa839...eaed — Down, $1,545
- 0xddb0...f95a — Up, $1,500
- 0x5bc3...7a59 — Down, $1,425
