Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,604.

Categories: Up or Down, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Crypto, Bitcoin, 15M

Notable Trades

Profitable serial BTC timer

A proven profitable serial timer bought Down 9 minutes before resolution in a short-horizon BTC market, a pattern that suggests a real edge despite the moderate bet size.

This wallet has made 13 near-resolution bets across 13 markets and is up $88.5k overall
The trader bought Down at 44¢ just 9 minutes before expiry, a setup where this wallet has shown a timing edge
A 44¢ entry implies they saw better than even odds on Down while the market was pricing it at 44%

$1,604 on Down | Wallet win rate: 75%

Top Holders

0xb802...5bbe — Outcome 79501863, $4,328 (75% win rate)
0xf79f...662e — Outcome 79501863, $3,543 (70% win rate)
0x7c72...587c — Outcome 79501863, $2,142
0x9fe4...25af — Outcome 79501863, $1,169
0xd19f...c21f — Outcome 79501863, $928
0x8659...67ce — Outcome 79501863, $738
0x0ac3...1d97 — Outcome 79501863, $309
0x4fc1...8360 — Outcome 79501863, $300
0x8888...0b39 — Outcome 79501863, $216
0x3e66...8cf9 — Outcome 79501863, $215

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Resolved$1,604 tracked1 signalUp or DownCrypto PricesHide From NewRecurringCryptoBitcoin15M

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.