Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
This Polymarket asks whether Bitcoin will finish higher or lower between 9:45 AM and 10:00 AM ET on April 9, based on Chainlink's BTC/USD data stream. It resolves to Up if the ending price is greater than or equal to the starting price, and Down if the ending price is lower. The market resolves on April 9, 2026, and currently has $7,785 in tracked smart money across 2 signals.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $10,077.
Categories: Up or Down, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Crypto, Bitcoin, 15M
Notable Trades
Serial timer, 77-0 record
A proven high-ROI serial timer with a perfect 77-for-77 record bought Down just 7.7 minutes before this BTC market resolved, a pattern strong enough to surface despite the small ticket size.
- This bettor is 77 for 77 on resolved trades and up $182.7k lifetime
- They placed this bet just 7.7 minutes before resolution, and they have 24 near-resolution bets across 23 markets
- They bought Down at 77¢, suggesting strong confidence even at a high price close to expiry
$1,770 on Down | Wallet win rate: 100%
Serial timers pile into Down
Three wallets piled into Down minutes before expiry, led by a serial near-resolution bettor with a perfect 77-for-77 record and strong edge, making this a credible short-horizon signal despite the market already being expensive.
- One wallet is 77 for 77 with a 43% edge and $182.7k profit, and it repeatedly bets right before markets resolve.
- All 3 wallets bought Down within about 8 minutes of expiry, totaling $6.0k and pushing the price sharply higher.
- Their entries ranged from 56¢ to 84¢; even the earliest buy doubled as Down moved to 94¢.
$6,014 on Down
Profitable serial timer
A proven profitable serial timer with a strong edge bought Down 14 minutes before resolution, and the market has already moved in their favor from 56% to 62%.
- This bettor is up $109k and wins 74% of resolved trades across 98 bets
- They repeatedly bet near resolution: 24 last-minute trades across 24 markets with a measured edge
- Bought Down at 56¢ and the market is already at 62¢, showing immediate follow-through
$2,293 on Down | Wallet win rate: 75%
Top Holders
- 0x3431...03b8 — Outcome 38634144, $1,731 (48% win rate)
- 0xe66a...6cff — Outcome 38634144, $968 (100% win rate)
- 0xf545...305b — Outcome 38634144, $686
- 0xa665...01e3 — Outcome 38634144, $625
- 0x490e...d550 — Outcome 38634144, $587
- 0xf539...42a3 — Outcome 38634144, $559
- 0x7767...fe12 — Outcome 38634144, $513
- 0x6b0f...2921 — Outcome 38634144, $475
- 0xeccd...d100 — Outcome 38634144, $399
- 0x4ad8...969f — Outcome 38634144, $389
