This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $467k lifetime. They have traded 60 related events with the same 80% win rate, suggesting a repeatable BTC short-window edge. They bought Down at 49¢ and the market has already moved to 68¢, so the entry looks strong but should not be chased far above their price.

Part of: Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,088.

Categories: Up or Down, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Crypto, Bitcoin, 5M

Notable Trades

80% BTC scalper

Sharp BTC binary trader with an 80% historical win rate and +$467k P&L bought Down at 49¢ before it moved to 68¢.

This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $467k lifetime.
They have traded 60 related events with the same 80% win rate, suggesting a repeatable BTC short-window edge.
They bought Down at 49¢ and the market has already moved to 68¢, so the entry looks strong but should not be chased far above their price.

$1,088 on Down | Wallet win rate: 80%

Top Holders

0xdd77...0145 — Outcome 52714688, $7,363 (71% win rate)
0x0681...f713 — Outcome 52714688, $3,862 (80% win rate)
0x8d06...f79d — Outcome 52714688, $2,661 (87% win rate)
0xf066...dd2c — Outcome 52714688, $1,154 (100% win rate)
0x7a69...0108 — Outcome 52714688, $1,150
0xe226...f76b — Outcome 52714688, $400
0x3618...ce00 — Outcome 52714688, $370
0x75a8...d6f1 — Outcome 52714688, $255
0x7148...600b — Outcome 52714688, $252
0xc882...0662 — Outcome 52714688, $234 (53% win rate)

Related Theses

Bitcoin rises by 3:35

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Bitcoin falls by 3:50AM

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Bitcoin rises into 5AM

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Bitcoin drops by 3:55AM

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Bitcoin rises by 1:35PM

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Bitcoin will rise shortly

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Bitcoin rises this window

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Bitcoin will move higher

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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

ResolvedBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$1,088 tracked1 signalUp or DownCrypto PricesHide From NewRecurringCryptoBitcoin5M

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.