Part of: Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
This Polymarket-style Bitcoin Up or Down market asks whether BTC/USD, as reported by Chainlink, will be higher or equal at 3:00AM ET than it was at 2:45AM ET on June 12. It resolves to “Up” if the ending price is greater than or equal to the starting price, and “Down” otherwise. PolySpotter is tracking $1,778 in smart money activity across 1 signal, including a recent alert that a 90% winner bought into a 50/50 setup.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,778.
Categories: Crypto Prices, Crypto, Bitcoin, 15M, Up or Down, Recurring
Notable Trades
90% winner buying 50/50
Surface due to sharp-wallet override: this bettor has a 90% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L, buying a 50/50 BTC direction market despite only a low-activity signal.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $8.4k lifetime.
- They bought Up at 50¢, treating this BTC move as a fair coin flip with potential edge.
- The $1.8k bet is far larger than recent market volume, which was only $13 in 24h.
$1,778 on Up | Wallet win rate: 90%
Top Holders
- 0x9bba...75a4 — Up, $3,557 (90% win rate)
- 0xf8d0...6a80 — Down, $3,554
- 0xbd0f...48fd — Up, $108
- 0x22c7...d814 — Down, $108
- 0xf70c...4e63 — Up, $10
- 0x5e6a...ba43 — Down, $3
- 0x05c8...145b — Down, $3
- 0x7bfb...2a5c — Down, $3
- 0xf293...8a86 — Down, $3
- 0x364f...0c65 — Down, $2
