Part of: Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,326.

Categories: Crypto Prices, Up or Down, Recurring, Crypto, 5M, Bitcoin

Notable Trades

Profitable serial timer

A highly active profitable wallet with a strong near-resolution pattern bought Up at 39¢ minutes before a BTC market resolved in its favor.

  • This bettor is up $412K lifetime across 36,936 resolved trades, winning 69% of them.
  • They placed this bet 4.4 minutes before resolution and have made 56 similar near-deadline bets across 24 markets.
  • Entry at 39¢ was a strong conviction buy, and the outcome has since moved to 100%.

$1,115 on Up | Wallet win rate: 69%

Sharp serial BTC timer

Sharp wallet with 87% resolved win rate and $25k profit bought Down shortly before resolution on a thin 5-minute BTC market.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $25,058 lifetime.
  • They have made 6 near-resolution bets across 6 markets, suggesting a repeat timing edge.
  • They bought Down at 51¢, and the market has already moved to 58¢.

$1,211 on Down | Wallet win rate: 88%

Top Holders

  1. 0x9109...3602 Outcome 10375040, $7,971
  2. 0x074f...b0dd Outcome 10375040, $6,066 (88% win rate)
  3. 0x7bfe...5bda Outcome 10375040, $4,636 (96% win rate)
  4. 0x724d...8dea Outcome 11459731, $4,602
  5. 0x8fd9...0a5a Outcome 10375040, $2,000
  6. 0xb305...ca4e Outcome 10375040, $2,000
  7. 0x04a1...3527 Outcome 10375040, $1,871 (57% win rate)
  8. 0x781a...96e6 Outcome 10375040, $1,460
  9. 0xb0c0...e88f Outcome 10375040, $1,415
  10. 0x6ca7...dc94 Outcome 10375040, $1,330

Related Theses

No deal by May

Covers 2 related markets

MicroStrategy sells Bitcoin in June

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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

ResolvedBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$2,326 tracked2 signalsCrypto PricesHide From NewUp or DownRecurringCrypto5MBitcoin

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Notable Trades

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

1h ago

$1,115 on Up at 39¢

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

1h ago

$1,211 on Down at 51¢

Related Theses