Part of: Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,214.

Categories: Up or Down, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Crypto, Bitcoin, 15M

Notable Trades

Serial timer wins 80%

Sharp serial near-resolution bettor with an 80% long-run win record sold Up, equivalent to buying Down at 21¢, shortly before resolution.

This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $127,538 lifetime.
They have made 61 near-resolution bets across 59 markets, suggesting a repeatable short-window edge.
Selling Up at 79¢ is equivalent to buying Down at 21¢ before a fast-moving 15-minute BTC resolution.

$1,214 on Down | Wallet win rate: 80%

Top Holders

0xd5d0...2ae6 — Outcome 39073682, $611
0xd026...ec2f — Outcome 39073682, $500 (60% win rate)
0xec7a...a1f2 — Outcome 39073682, $389 (58% win rate)
0x5ad6...15c8 — Outcome 39073682, $299 (89% win rate)
0x6760...be3c — Outcome 39073682, $295
0x9419...c114 — Outcome 39073682, $266
0xdd1c...3f79 — Outcome 39073682, $221
0xa70b...eedf — Outcome 39073682, $160
0x3995...3299 — Outcome 39073682, $142
0x2ed9...f271 — Outcome 39073682, $140

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

ResolvedBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$1,214 tracked1 signalUp or DownCrypto PricesHide From NewRecurringCryptoBitcoin15M

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.