Part of: Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
This Polymarket Bitcoin Up or Down market asks whether the Chainlink BTC/USD price at 4:00PM ET on May 13 will be greater than or equal to its price at 12:00PM ET. It resolves to “Up” if Bitcoin finishes the 4-hour window flat or higher, and “Down” if it finishes lower. PolySpotter is tracking $1,829 in smart money activity, with a recent signal showing an 84% winner buying Up.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,829.
Categories: Crypto Prices, Recurring, Bitcoin, 4H, Up or Down, Crypto
Notable Trades
84% winner buying Up
Surfaced despite a weak low-activity signal because the wallet has a large resolved sample with an 84% win rate and positive lifetime P&L.
- This bettor has won 84% of 1,214 resolved trades and is up about $14k lifetime.
- They bought Bitcoin Up at 73¢, and the market has already moved to 76¢.
- The $1.8k buy was large for this market, roughly one-third of the past-day volume.
$1,829 on Up | Wallet win rate: 84%
Top Holders
- 0xcc50...4c82 — Down, $7,466 (42% win rate)
- 0x4605...b773 — Up, $3,589 (50% win rate)
- 0xb55f...64d4 — Up, $1,350 (50% win rate)
- 0x8320...904e — Up, $987 (71% win rate)
- 0x3c5a...0a4f — Down, $982 (1% win rate)
- 0xfc05...03db — Up, $951
- 0x8606...c04f — Up, $872
- 0x9826...983b — Up, $803
- 0xb373...2aa2 — Up, $803
- 0x0d1e...8f0c — Down, $500
