Part of: Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

This Polymarket-style prediction market asks whether Bitcoin will be up or down from 8:00AM to 12:00PM ET on May 13, resolving “Up” if the Chainlink BTC/USD price at the end is greater than or equal to the price at the start. Resolution is scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 16:00 UTC, using Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream rather than exchange-specific prices. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,817 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal for this market.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,817.

Categories: 4H, Up or Down, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Crypto, Bitcoin

Notable Trades

Recurring funded cluster

A linked-wallet cluster with prior recurrence is buying the dominant Down side in a short Bitcoin market, but the individual wallet has only a roughly breakeven hit rate despite positive lifetime P&L.

  • Three wallets funded by the same source are betting the same way, with this cluster seen in prior runs.
  • This wallet is up about $99.7K lifetime across more than 11,000 resolved trades.
  • They bought Down at 90¢ and the market is already at 92¢, so the position is moving in their favor.

$1,817 on Down | Wallet win rate: 50%

Top Holders

  1. 0xcc50...4c82 — Down, $7,023 (42% win rate)
  2. 0xafe6...8192 — Up, $5,007 (85% win rate)
  3. 0x4605...b773 — Down, $2,928
  4. 0xb55f...64d4 — Down, $2,855 (50% win rate)
  5. 0xbc9b...1b9c — Up, $2,570 (85% win rate)
  6. 0xf7df...eda4 — Up, $1,947
  7. 0x8320...904e — Up, $1,551 (71% win rate)
  8. 0xb5ff...3fcd — Up, $1,215
  9. 0x01d1...4c79 — Up, $353
  10. 0x6fdc...953f — Down, $349

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

ResolvedBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$1,817 tracked1 signal4HUp or DownCrypto PricesHide From NewRecurringCryptoBitcoin
Up
9¢
Down
92¢

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Price History — “Down”
94¢
71¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

4h ago

$1,817 on Down at 90¢

90¢→92¢↑2¢