Part of: Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,127.
Categories: Up or Down, Crypto Prices, Crypto, Bitcoin, Recurring, 15M
Notable Trades
Profitable serial timer
A profitable serial near-resolution trader bought Down minutes before close, with linked-wallet history adding conviction despite the modest bet size.
- This bettor is up $102,882 lifetime across more than $10M traded.
- They placed this bet 1.8 minutes before resolution, matching a 43-trade pattern of last-minute entries.
- Three wallets tied to the same funder have appeared in this cluster history, adding support to the signal.
$1,127 on Down | Wallet win rate: 50%
Profitable serial timer
Serial high-volume crypto bettor with strong lifetime profits placed $3,000 on Down minutes before resolution, though the market has moved against the entry.
- This bettor is up $98,357 lifetime across nearly 1,500 resolved trades.
- They have a repeat pattern of near-resolution bets: 11 last-minute trades across 9 markets.
- They put $3,000 on Down about 8 minutes before resolution, paying 73–78¢ before it moved to 66¢.
$3,000 on Down | Wallet win rate: 67%
Top Holders
- 0x606d...1aaf — Outcome 92149337, $1,976 (67% win rate)
- 0x69d2...22fb — Outcome 92149337, $1,037
- 0xe66a...6cff — Outcome 92149337, $943 (100% win rate)
- 0x2e70...9a38 — Outcome 92149337, $593
- 0x6254...60a9 — Outcome 92149337, $542
- 0x866f...ba88 — Outcome 92149337, $474
- 0xca5f...7854 — Outcome 92149337, $369
- 0x193a...2dfa — Outcome 92149337, $345
- 0x93dc...574e — Outcome 92149337, $220
- 0x9316...c00c — Outcome 92149337, $179
Related Theses
Bitcoin avoids major crash
Covers 4 related markets
Aurora wins Map 2
Covers 1 related market
