Part of: Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,200.

Categories: Up or Down, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Crypto, Bitcoin, 5M

Notable Trades

Serial timer near close

High-volume serial cross-market bettor placed a last-minute Down bet on a 5-minute BTC market, but lifetime P&L is negative so this is mainly a timing-pattern alert rather than a proven sharp edge.

  • This bettor has made over 2,000 resolved trades and wins 71% of them, though they are down lifetime overall.
  • The trade was placed just 2.2 minutes before resolution, suggesting a short-term BTC price read.
  • Entry at 78¢ was far above the current 52¢ market price, so copying only makes sense below the original entry.

$1,200 on Down | Wallet win rate: 71%

Top Holders

  1. 0x3eba...11ed Outcome 70345881, $1,596
  2. 0xdd2b...f578 Outcome 70345881, $1,514
  3. 0x10c5...5995 Outcome 70345881, $1,000
  4. 0x4058...4c04 Outcome 70345881, $600
  5. 0x98fd...c479 Outcome 70345881, $572
  6. 0xf019...7cf4 Outcome 70345881, $500
  7. 0x404a...2852 Outcome 70345881, $408
  8. 0xf7f7...7a0d Outcome 70345881, $359 (41% win rate)
  9. 0xc261...ca5e Outcome 70345881, $316
  10. 0x3103...0424 Outcome 70345881, $303

Related Theses

Bitcoin drops by 11:25

Covers 1 related market

Bitcoin falls by 11:40

Covers 1 related market

Bitcoin rises into 11:45

Covers 1 related market

Bitcoin rises before noon

Covers 1 related market

Bitcoin rises by 12:15

Covers 1 related market

Bitcoin rises this window

Covers 1 related market

Bitcoin drops by 12:50

Covers 1 related market

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

ResolvedBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$1,200 tracked1 signalUp or DownCrypto PricesHide From NewRecurringCryptoBitcoin5M

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Notable Trades

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

2h ago

$1,200 on Down at 78¢

Related Theses