Part of: Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $19,936.

Categories: Up or Down, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Crypto, Bitcoin, 5M

Notable Trades

BTC expiry snipers clustered

Five wallets, including several extremely high-win BTC micro-market traders, piled into Up near resolution and moved the price sharply before it settled at 100%.

  • Several bettors with 97%–100% historical win records all bought the same side near expiry.
  • Five wallets put $14.8K into Up, pushing the price about 23 points before it settled at 100%.
  • One wallet has won 30 of 31 resolved bets and is up about $49.6K lifetime.

$14,783 on Up

90% serial BTC timer

Sharp wallet with a 90% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Down near resolution, and the market quickly moved from 42¢ to 58¢.

  • This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $39.8K lifetime.
  • They bought Down at 42¢ shortly before resolution, and it has already moved to 58¢.
  • This wallet has made 9 near-resolution bets across 9 markets with a strong winning record.

$2,284 on Down | Wallet win rate: 90%

97% BTC timer buying Up

Sharp wallet with a 97% resolved win rate and +$44.6k P&L bought Bitcoin Up twice for $2.9k on a quiet short-term market.

  • This bettor has won 29 of 30 resolved trades and is up $44.6k lifetime.
  • They bought $2.9k of Up at about 63¢, far larger than the market’s $155 daily volume.
  • The bets landed minutes before resolution, a pattern worth following given the wallet’s strong record.

$2,869 on Up | Wallet win rate: 97%

Top Holders

  1. 0xee4e...e2cc Outcome 99492902, $7,478 (90% win rate)
  2. 0xb3fd...22c7 Outcome 99492902, $3,508 (76% win rate)
  3. 0x51ef...cda1 Outcome 99492902, $3,436 (81% win rate)
  4. 0x93b1...7c90 Outcome 99492902, $1,662
  5. 0x04a1...3527 Outcome 99492902, $1,316 (56% win rate)
  6. 0xcfbb...4197 Outcome 99492902, $1,000
  7. 0x7ec4...00ad Outcome 99492902, $916
  8. 0x5eac...3dc7 Outcome 99492902, $838
  9. 0xb0c0...e88f Outcome 99492902, $805
  10. 0x2f51...b83f Outcome 99492902, $800

Related Theses

Bitcoin rises by 11:20

Covers 1 related market

Bitcoin rises by 12:15AM

Covers 1 related market

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

ResolvedBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$19,936 tracked3 signalsUp or DownCrypto PricesHide From NewRecurringCryptoBitcoin5M

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Notable Trades

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

2h ago

$14,783 on Up at 82¢

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

2h ago

$2,284 on Down at 42¢

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

2h ago

$2,869 on Up at 63¢

Related Theses