Part of: Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,248.

Categories: Up or Down, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Crypto, Bitcoin, 5M

Notable Trades

Profitable serial timer

A profitable serial near-resolution bettor bought Up at 62¢ on a short Bitcoin market, showing a repeated timing-based edge despite a modest overall win rate.

  • This wallet has made 11 near-resolution bets across 10 markets and is up $13,174 lifetime.
  • The bettor has a timing-based edge, with prior near-resolution trades outperforming by about 11%.
  • Entry at 62¢ suggests they see Bitcoin Up as materially underpriced before resolution.

$1,248 on Up | Wallet win rate: 48%

Top Holders

  1. 0x93b1...7c90 — Outcome 10603425, $1,662
  2. 0x2cce...6e85 — Outcome 10603425, $1,553 (67% win rate)
  3. 0x284a...078e — Outcome 10603425, $890
  4. 0x8852...c569 — Outcome 10603425, $635
  5. 0x542e...e88e — Outcome 10603425, $635
  6. 0x32b8...fe67 — Outcome 10603425, $500
  7. 0x2709...20f5 — Outcome 10603425, $466
  8. 0xa1cb...fc16 — Outcome 10603425, $440
  9. 0xb4df...25c1 — Outcome 10603425, $375
  10. 0x1648...c24b — Outcome 10603425, $337

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

ResolvedBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$1,248 tracked1 signalUp or DownCrypto PricesHide From NewRecurringCryptoBitcoin5M

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Notable Trades

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

2h ago

$1,248 on Up at 62¢