Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,296.

Categories: Up or Down, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Crypto, Bitcoin, 5M

Notable Trades

94% BTC scalper betting Up

Surfacing despite the short 5-minute BTC market because this is a highly profitable 94% winner making a large relative bet in a thin book.

  • This bettor has won 30 of 32 resolved trades and is up about $126k lifetime.
  • The $1.3k buy was over 5x the market’s prior 24h volume, showing strong conviction in a thin book.
  • Entry at 67¢ implies they saw Bitcoin Up as likely despite the market later showing 50/50 odds.

$1,296 on Up | Wallet win rate: 94%

Top Holders

  1. 0x6075...3a62 Outcome 89689136, $4,763 (94% win rate)
  2. 0x6419...1faa Outcome 89689136, $800
  3. 0x02f4...4658 Outcome 89689136, $746
  4. 0xda68...fd49 Outcome 89689136, $585
  5. 0x129b...9274 Outcome 89689136, $540 (47% win rate)
  6. 0x7bff...1112 Outcome 89689136, $539
  7. 0xf70c...4e63 Outcome 89689136, $500
  8. 0x1c89...0e9f Outcome 89689136, $465
  9. 0x10c9...e999 Outcome 89689136, $400
  10. 0x8a72...3b30 Outcome 89689136, $400 (90% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Resolved$1,296 tracked1 signalUp or DownCrypto PricesHide From NewRecurringCryptoBitcoin5M

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Notable Trades

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

2h ago

$1,296 on Up at 67¢

Related Theses