This bettor has won 34 of 36 resolved bets and is up $133k lifetime. They put $4.3k on Down just before the BTC window, far larger than the market’s prior activity. This wallet has traded 32 related events with a 94% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable short-term crypto edge.

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $4,284.

Categories: Up or Down, Recurring, Crypto, Bitcoin, 5M, Crypto Prices

Notable Trades

94% BTC micro-timer

Proven 94% wallet is making a $4.3k Down bet minutes before a BTC micro-market window, with a strong serial cross-market record and large size versus prior volume.

This bettor has won 34 of 36 resolved bets and is up $133k lifetime.
They put $4.3k on Down just before the BTC window, far larger than the market’s prior activity.
This wallet has traded 32 related events with a 94% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable short-term crypto edge.

$4,284 on Down | Wallet win rate: 92%

Top Holders

0xe492...01cb — Outcome 38297866, $5,421 (75% win rate)
0x3ed6...1249 — Outcome 38297866, $1,962
0x29a1...c459 — Outcome 38297866, $1,550
0xdefe...17f4 — Outcome 38297866, $1,064 (62% win rate)
0x5204...23c2 — Outcome 38297866, $960
0xff0b...a4ae — Outcome 38297866, $700
0x1ed8...221a — Outcome 38297866, $576
0x4e58...8ea3 — Outcome 38297866, $515
0xd7e7...a357 — Outcome 38297866, $515
0x9b9c...5c06 — Outcome 38297866, $515

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Resolved$4,284 tracked1 signalUp or DownRecurringCryptoBitcoin5MCrypto PricesHide From New

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.