Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $13,777.

Categories: Up or Down, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Crypto, Bitcoin, 5M

Notable Trades

92% BTC timer

Worth surfacing as a sharp short-term BTC bettor: the market is no longer copyable at 100%, but the wallet has a strong 92% resolved record and placed $7.8k minutes before a winning resolution.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $142.7k lifetime.
  • They put $7.8k on Up at an average 63¢ just 5 minutes before resolution.
  • The trade already moved to 100%, so this is more useful as a wallet to follow than an entry to chase.

$7,765 on Up | Wallet win rate: 92%

92% BTC scalper buying Up

Surface: a highly profitable 92% winner is placing a concentrated $6k Up bet in a short BTC market, though the timing signal itself is less meaningful for a 5-minute contract.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $142,748 lifetime.
  • They put $6,013 on Up across three buys, averaging about 65¢.
  • The market moved against them to 62¢, offering a slightly better entry than their average price.

$6,013 on Up | Wallet win rate: 92%

Top Holders

  1. 0x5ca0...fc36 Outcome 63876642, $1,000
  2. 0x9700...798f Outcome 63876642, $517 (82% win rate)
  3. 0xf370...4f88 Outcome 63876642, $450
  4. 0x4e58...8ea3 Outcome 63876642, $418
  5. 0xd7e7...a357 Outcome 63876642, $365
  6. 0x9b9c...5c06 Outcome 63876642, $365
  7. 0x9781...165f Outcome 63876642, $360
  8. 0xb5bb...c7e4 Outcome 63876642, $332
  9. 0x8852...c569 Outcome 63876642, $322
  10. 0xc0ff...136b Outcome 63876642, $276

Related Theses

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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Resolved$13,777 tracked2 signalsUp or DownCrypto PricesHide From NewRecurringCryptoBitcoin5M

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Notable Trades

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

5h ago

$7,765 on Up at 63¢

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

5h ago

$6,013 on Up at 65¢

Related Theses