This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $12.3k lifetime. They bought $1.1k of Up at 69¢ in a market with only $205 of 24h volume. The bet was placed about 8 minutes before resolution, suggesting a short-term timing edge.

This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up about $101k lifetime. They have repeated this pattern across 49 short crypto markets with the same 93% win rate. The $3.1k buy was over 15x the market’s 24h volume, showing strong conviction in a quiet market.

Part of: Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,188.

Categories: Crypto Prices, 5M, Up or Down, Recurring, Crypto, Bitcoin

Notable Trades

81% BTC timer

Sharp profitable wallet with an 81% resolved win rate made a $1.1k Up buy that dwarfs prior volume in a very short BTC market.

This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $12.3k lifetime.
They bought $1.1k of Up at 69¢ in a market with only $205 of 24h volume.
The bet was placed about 8 minutes before resolution, suggesting a short-term timing edge.

$1,086 on Up | Wallet win rate: 81%

93% BTC scalper

Sharp short-window BTC bettor with a 93% resolved win rate and $101k profit bought Up shortly before resolution in a very quiet market.

This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up about $101k lifetime.
They have repeated this pattern across 49 short crypto markets with the same 93% win rate.
The $3.1k buy was over 15x the market’s 24h volume, showing strong conviction in a quiet market.

$3,102 on Up | Wallet win rate: 94%

Top Holders

0x1e50...2473 — Outcome 41767673, $3,319
0x11a3...3a98 — Outcome 41767673, $1,298
0xd66f...3610 — Outcome 41767673, $582
0x76b8...6aa1 — Outcome 41767673, $572 (28% win rate)
0x95ef...a840 — Outcome 41767673, $500
0xf1e0...0f73 — Outcome 41767673, $500
0xa839...eaed — Outcome 41767673, $402
0xdd3c...35cf — Outcome 41767673, $384
0x4ef4...e2e9 — Outcome 41767673, $378
0x3c58...776b — Outcome 41767673, $336

Related Theses

Bitcoin rises after 5 AM

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Bitcoin falls this interval

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Bitcoin drops after midnight

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Bitcoin drops within five minutes

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Bitcoin rises after 1AM

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Bitcoin will move higher

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Bitcoin rises in next five minutes

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Bitcoin drops over five minutes

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Bitcoin rises by 11:20

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Bitcoin rises by 4:50AM

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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

ResolvedBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$4,188 tracked2 signalsCrypto PricesHide From New5MUp or DownRecurringCryptoBitcoin

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.