Part of: Bitcoin Up or Down on April 21?

Bitcoin Up or Down on April 21?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $12,156.

Categories: Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Bitcoin, Up or Down, Today 🚀, Daily, Daily-Close

Notable Trades

Profitable serial timer

A highly profitable serial near-resolution trader put nearly $11k into Up minutes before expiry in a fast-moving BTC market and already got a favorable move from 78-84¢ entries to 88¢.

  • This wallet has a strong real-money record: 756 wins, $341k profit, and over $22.4M deployed.
  • They repeatedly bet right before markets resolve — 27 near-resolution bets across 13 markets — and added nearly $11k here in the final 4 minutes.
  • Most buys came at 78-84¢ and the market is already 88¢, showing good timing into a 22x volume spike.

$10,952 on Up | Wallet win rate: 60%

Profitable serial timer

Surface this alert because a highly profitable serial near-resolution trader with $341k P&L is making another late bet, a pattern that can reflect real-time edge even though the market is liquid and the stake is modest.

  • This bettor is up $341k and has made 23 late bets across 11 markets near resolution
  • They have 1,290 resolved trades with a 59% win rate, which is strong at this scale
  • They bought Up at 64¢ about an hour before resolution, signaling a small but deliberate late edge

$1,204 on Up | Wallet win rate: 60%

Top Holders

  1. 0xd4aa...d40c Outcome 33079713, $4,624
  2. 0x8ff0...a0ed Outcome 33079713, $1,936
  3. 0xeee9...7ecb Outcome 33079713, $1,111
  4. 0x4967...9b76 Outcome 33079713, $1,100 (100% win rate)
  5. 0x0ad0...b8b6 Outcome 33079713, $928
  6. 0x8c63...02db Outcome 33079713, $928
  7. 0x064a...f6a0 Outcome 33079713, $928
  8. 0x92aa...0341 Outcome 33079713, $686
  9. 0x102f...7a56 Outcome 33079713, $475 (67% win rate)
  10. 0xa12f...e012 Outcome 33079713, $432

Related Theses

Covers 9 related markets

Bitcoin holds 75K, tops at 80K

Covers 8 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Bitcoin stays between $76K-$80K

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Bitcoin Up or Down on April 21?

ResolvedBitcoin Up or Down on April 21?$12,156 tracked2 signalsCryptoCrypto PricesRecurringHide From NewBitcoinUp or DownToday 🚀DailyDaily-Close

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Apr 20 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Apr 21 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Apr 20 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Apr 21 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Notable Trades

Bitcoin Up or Down on April 21?

45d ago

$10,952 on Up at 84¢

Bitcoin Up or Down on April 21?

45d ago

$1,204 on Up at 64¢

Related Theses