Bitcoin Up or Down on April 21?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $12,156.

Categories: Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Bitcoin, Up or Down, Today 🚀, Daily, Daily-Close

Notable Trades

Profitable serial timer

A highly profitable serial near-resolution trader put nearly $11k into Up minutes before expiry in a fast-moving BTC market and already got a favorable move from 78-84¢ entries to 88¢.

  • This wallet has a strong real-money record: 756 wins, $341k profit, and over $22.4M deployed.
  • They repeatedly bet right before markets resolve — 27 near-resolution bets across 13 markets — and added nearly $11k here in the final 4 minutes.
  • Most buys came at 78-84¢ and the market is already 88¢, showing good timing into a 22x volume spike.

$10,952 on Up | Wallet win rate: 59%

Profitable serial timer

Surface this alert because a highly profitable serial near-resolution trader with $341k P&L is making another late bet, a pattern that can reflect real-time edge even though the market is liquid and the stake is modest.

  • This bettor is up $341k and has made 23 late bets across 11 markets near resolution
  • They have 1,290 resolved trades with a 59% win rate, which is strong at this scale
  • They bought Up at 64¢ about an hour before resolution, signaling a small but deliberate late edge

$1,204 on Up | Wallet win rate: 59%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe5f8...8d75 Outcome 33079713, $10,628
  2. 0x07a9...2ab0 Outcome 33079713, $9,633
  3. 0xfdc0...e6a1 Outcome 62972170, $5,844
  4. 0xd4aa...d40c Outcome 33079713, $4,624
  5. 0x9567...e505 Outcome 62972170, $4,500 (63% win rate)
  6. 0x32e8...5567 Outcome 33079713, $3,871 (81% win rate)
  7. 0xa806...2c7c Outcome 33079713, $2,855
  8. 0xb33e...cd0a Outcome 33079713, $2,433 (19% win rate)
  9. 0x48ec...8f36 Outcome 62972170, $1,950
  10. 0x8ff0...a0ed Outcome 33079713, $1,936

Related Theses

Covers 7 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Bitcoin Up or Down on April 21?

Resolved$12,156 tracked2 signalsCryptoCrypto PricesRecurringHide From NewBitcoinUp or DownToday 🚀DailyDaily-Close

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Apr 20 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Apr 21 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Apr 20 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Apr 21 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Notable Trades

Bitcoin Up or Down on April 21?

2h ago

$10,952 on Up at 84¢

Bitcoin Up or Down on April 21?

3h ago

$1,204 on Up at 64¢

Related Theses