Bitcoin Up or Down on May 1?
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Apr 30 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the May 1 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Apr 30 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the May 1 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,580.
Categories: Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Bitcoin, Up or Down, Today 🚀, Daily, Daily-Close
Notable Trades
92% serial cross-market bettor
Strong track-record wallet with 92% resolved win rate is buying Up after a major price breakout in a liquid BTC daily market.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $43K lifetime.
- They have traded 72 markets across 44 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.
- They bought Up at 79¢ after the price jumped 27 points, backing the breakout rather than fading it.
$1,580 on Up | Wallet win rate: 92%
Top Holders
- 0x6e1d...d0fa — Up, $5,157 (58% win rate)
- 0x2298...b75f — Down, $4,642 (31% win rate)
- 0xe5f8...8d75 — Down, $4,542
- 0xe9c6...95c9 — Down, $3,810 (48% win rate)
- 0xbf5f...c035 — Up, $2,804 (20% win rate)
- 0xec8f...8df8 — Up, $2,582
- 0x66ad...cc4e — Up, $2,000 (92% win rate)
- 0xab26...5ef1 — Up, $1,525
- 0x24b9...bcb1 — Down, $1,159
- 0x801d...d8e0 — Down, $1,000 (73% win rate)
