Part of: Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,534.
Categories: Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Bitcoin, Up or Down, Today 🚀, Daily, Daily-Close
Notable Trades
New crypto wallet winning early
A 2-day-old wallet with a perfect early record and positive P&L is repeatedly making sizable BTC direction bets, now buying Up after a large 1-day odds move.
- This new wallet is 6-for-6 so far and up $1,122 on $6,501 invested.
- It has already been flagged 4 times in under 2 days, with $5,218 in notable bets.
- The market has moved 27 percentage points toward Up, and this wallet is still buying at 77¢.
$1,512 on Up | Wallet win rate: 90%
Profitable serial cross-market trader
Serial cross-market trader with a large profitable history bought Up on a BTC daily market after a strong 1-day price move, though the individual trade is modest.
- This bettor has a long track record: 1,483 resolved trades, 60% wins, and about $364K lifetime profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 46 events and $609K flagged flow, suggesting a repeatable event-based strategy.
- They bought Up at 70¢ after the market moved +19.5 points in the past day, aligning with strong momentum.
$1,064 on Up | Wallet win rate: 60%
Profitable new BTC wallet
A 6-day-old wallet with early profits is effectively buying Up on a BTC daily market after building 8 positions and a 75% resolved record.
- This 6-day-old wallet is already up $1,883 with 6 wins in 8 resolved bets.
- Selling Down at 30¢ is equivalent to buying Up at 70¢, matching the market’s strong move toward Up.
- The wallet has deployed nearly $12K across early positions, suggesting more than a one-off small bet.
$1,243 on Up | Wallet win rate: 75%
84% winner buying thin market
Sharp-wallet override: despite only a weak low-activity signal, this wallet has a strong 84% record across 1,214 resolved bets and bought a large Up position exceeding the market’s 24h volume.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades across 1,214 bets and is up about $14k lifetime.
- Their $4.7k Up buy was larger than the entire market’s 24h volume, showing strong conviction in a quiet market.
- Entry at 51¢ implies they see Bitcoin Up as underpriced versus a near-even market.
$4,716 on Up | Wallet win rate: 84%
Top Holders
- 0x7312...a168 — Outcome 21607424, $10,445 (36% win rate)
- 0xc086...b1af — Outcome 21607424, $8,639 (73% win rate)
- 0xeee9...7ecb — Outcome 21607424, $1,851
- 0x7de1...e0de — Outcome 21607424, $1,355 (39% win rate)
- 0x21f3...b993 — Outcome 21607424, $1,283
- 0x1590...adaf — Outcome 21607424, $1,215 (91% win rate)
- 0x8966...3476 — Outcome 21607424, $1,000
- 0xf4d1...fd35 — Outcome 21607424, $1,000
- 0x8ff0...a0ed — Outcome 21607424, $823
- 0x1f39...921f — Outcome 21607424, $650
Related Theses
Bitcoin dips but holds $70K
Covers 6 related markets
Bitcoin stays rangebound in June
Covers 10 related markets
