Part of: bitcoin-up-or-down-on-may-14-2026
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 13 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the May 14 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 13 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the May 14 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $4,716.
Categories: Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Bitcoin, Up or Down, Today 🚀, Daily, Daily-Close
Notable Trades
84% winner buying thin market
Sharp-wallet override: despite only a weak low-activity signal, this wallet has a strong 84% record across 1,214 resolved bets and bought a large Up position exceeding the market’s 24h volume.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades across 1,214 bets and is up about $14k lifetime.
- Their $4.7k Up buy was larger than the entire market’s 24h volume, showing strong conviction in a quiet market.
- Entry at 51¢ implies they see Bitcoin Up as underpriced versus a near-even market.
$4,716 on Up | Wallet win rate: 84%
Top Holders
- 0xbc9b...1b9c — Up, $11,961 (84% win rate)
- 0x6e1d...d0fa — Down, $9,341 (58% win rate)
- 0xfcbe...8f44 — Up, $7,485 (97% win rate)
- 0x4605...b773 — Down, $5,579
- 0x0fe4...01b7 — Down, $5,159 (60% win rate)
- 0xfdc0...e6a1 — Up, $4,236 (54% win rate)
- 0x801d...d8e0 — Up, $2,500 (73% win rate)
- 0xeee9...7ecb — Down, $2,022
- 0xbf5f...c035 — Down, $1,531 (20% win rate)
- 0x726f...d8e7 — Down, $1,366 (56% win rate)
