Part of: Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $21,244.

Categories: Crypto Prices, Recurring, Bitcoin, Up or Down, Today 🚀, Daily, Daily-Close, Crypto

Notable Trades

Profitable serial BTC trader

Serial cross-market trader with a long profitable history is buying Down amid a major pre-event volume spike and strong market move.

  • This bettor has a large track record: 1,505 resolved bets, 60% wins, and $388K lifetime profit.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 51 events with $625K in flagged activity.
  • Volume is 304x normal and the market has moved sharply toward Down, supporting the same direction.

$2,163 on Down | Wallet win rate: 59%

Profitable serial cross-market trader

A highly experienced cross-market trader with strong lifetime profits bought Down amid a major pre-event volume surge and sharp price move.

  • This bettor is up $391K lifetime across 1,861 resolved markets, with $35M in total traded volume.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 138 events and 245 markets.
  • Down has already moved hard, and this buy follows a 304x volume spike before resolution.

$2,593 on Down | Wallet win rate: 60%

Profitable serial crypto bettor

Profitable high-volume crypto bettor with a long cross-market track record is buying the 84¢ Down side, though the trade size is modest for this liquid market.

  • This bettor has 1,505 resolved trades, wins 60% of them, and is up $388k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 50 events and 77 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy.
  • Entry at 84¢ implies a high-conviction favorite bet on Bitcoin finishing lower.

$2,132 on Down | Wallet win rate: 59%

Profitable crypto bettor

Moderate volume-spike alert backed by a profitable high-volume crypto bettor buying Down after a large momentum move.

  • This active bettor is up $323k lifetime across more than 1,400 resolved markets.
  • They bought $8.1k of Down at 81¢ after heavy market momentum pushed Down to 82%.
  • Market volume is far above its usual baseline, suggesting fresh money is concentrating on this direction.

$8,061 on Down | Wallet win rate: 51%

Profitable BTC regular

A highly profitable high-volume crypto bettor bought $6.3k of Down at 80% during a major breakout, despite only a moderate standalone price-impact signal.

  • This bettor is up $323k lifetime across more than 1,400 resolved trades.
  • They bought $6.3k of Down after a sharp 25-point breakout in the market.
  • This looks like fresh conviction after previously closing a smaller Down position.

$6,295 on Down | Wallet win rate: 51%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfae4...299f Outcome 69588391, $20,000 (65% win rate)
  2. 0xfdd3...4214 Outcome 69588391, $10,000
  3. 0x0de7...8a34 Outcome 69588391, $3,700
  4. 0x21f3...b993 Outcome 69588391, $2,002
  5. 0x21f7...e19f Outcome 69588391, $2,000 (50% win rate)
  6. 0x14f7...232c Outcome 69588391, $1,176 (34% win rate)
  7. 0x1608...10cf Outcome 69588391, $1,000
  8. 0x2f09...f2c0 Outcome 69588391, $1,000
  9. 0x7738...76a4 Outcome 69588391, $1,000
  10. 0xf4d1...fd35 Outcome 69588391, $1,000

Related Theses

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Bitcoin holds 75K, tops at 80K

Covers 8 related markets

Bitcoin dips but holds $70K

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Bitcoin stays rangebound in June

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Covers 4 related markets

Covers 1 related market

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Covers 2 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?

ResolvedBitcoin Up or Down on May 15?$21,244 tracked5 signalsCrypto PricesRecurringHide From NewBitcoinUp or DownToday 🚀DailyDaily-CloseCrypto

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 14 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the May 15 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 14 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the May 15 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Notable Trades

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?

67d ago

$2,163 on Down at 84¢

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?

67d ago

$2,593 on Down at 84¢

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?

67d ago

$2,132 on Down at 84¢

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?

67d ago

$8,061 on Down at 81¢

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?

67d ago

$6,295 on Down at 80¢

Related Theses