Part of: Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17?
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17?
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $29,201.
Categories: Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Bitcoin, Up or Down, Today 🚀, Daily, Daily-Close
Notable Trades
Profitable serial timer flipped Down
Serial near-resolution BTC trader with strong lifetime profit flipped from Up to Down 23 minutes before close and the market moved sharply in their favor.
- This bettor is up $376K lifetime and has made 96 near-resolution bets across 29 markets.
- They closed a large Up position, then bought $3.1K of Down just 23 minutes before resolution.
- Their Down entries at 88–90¢ quickly moved to 98¢, showing the market followed their read.
$3,143 on Down | Wallet win rate: 59%
Profitable serial timer
Serial near-resolution bettor with $376k lifetime profit flipped into Down with $5.2k shortly before the BTC daily market resolved.
- This wallet has made 94 near-resolution bets across 29 markets and is up $376k lifetime.
- They bought $5.2k of Down in the final 45 minutes, with the market moving from 79–88¢ entries to 90¢ now.
- The bettor previously closed an Up position here and flipped to Down near expiry, suggesting fresh conviction.
$5,165 on Down | Wallet win rate: 59%
Profitable serial timer
Profitable serial near-resolution crypto trader bought $10.4k of Down within the final hour, alongside a 14.4x volume spike.
- This bettor is up $380k lifetime and has made 92 near-resolution bets across 29 markets.
- They bought $10.4k of Down in the final hour, at an average entry around 80¢.
- Market activity spiked 14.4x while Down is already trading near 82¢.
$10,399 on Down | Wallet win rate: 59%
Profitable serial timer
Serial near-resolution crypto bettor with $380k lifetime profit placed nearly $8k on Down about 57 minutes before resolution, though the price has since moved against them.
- This bettor is up $380k lifetime and repeatedly trades close to market resolution.
- They have made 85 near-resolution bets across 29 markets, totaling about $199k.
- They put nearly $8k on Down around 79–81¢, and the market is now cheaper at 72¢.
$7,950 on Down | Wallet win rate: 59%
96% serial crypto bettor
Surface because this is a highly active serial cross-market trader with a 96% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L buying Down before the market moved in their favor.
- This bettor has won 96% of 2,699 resolved bets and is up $23K lifetime.
- They bought Down at 57¢, and the market has already moved to 64¢ after the trade.
- They previously closed an Up position here, suggesting a fresh flip toward Down rather than routine adding.
$1,366 on Down | Wallet win rate: 96%
Profitable serial crypto trader
Profitable high-volume crypto trader with a long cross-market history bought Up during a sharp BTC-direction price breakout, though the stake size is modest.
- This bettor has 1,935 resolved trades, wins 59% of them, and is up $367k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 144 events and 251 markets.
- Bought Up at 71¢ during a sharp move, with Up up 17 points over the day.
$1,178 on Up | Wallet win rate: 59%
Top Holders
- 0x5b63...11a4 — Outcome 84519207, $7,640 (70% win rate)
- 0x55be...dca3 — Outcome 84519207, $6,474 (54% win rate)
- 0x6e1d...d0fa — Outcome 84519207, $4,055 (59% win rate)
- 0xa12f...e012 — Outcome 84519207, $674
- 0xea97...a471 — Outcome 84519207, $615
- 0x27e1...8fd2 — Outcome 84519207, $600
- 0x5480...d9d2 — Outcome 84519207, $500
- 0xd0c2...8915 — Outcome 84519207, $433
- 0xe8ca...8a8d — Outcome 84519207, $357
- 0xaf92...d6be — Outcome 84519207, $337
Related Theses
Bitcoin will fall May 20
Covers 1 related market
Bitcoin falls on May 17
Covers 1 related market
Bitcoin rises on May 18
Covers 1 related market
Bitcoin rallies but stays below $90K
Covers 6 related markets
