Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2?
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 1 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the May 2 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 1 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the May 2 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $12,038.
Categories: Crypto, Crypto Prices, Bitcoin, Up or Down, Today 🚀, Recurring, Daily, Daily-Close
Notable Trades
91% serial timer exits Down
Elite 91% win-rate serial timer closed a Down position 44 minutes before resolution, creating a copyable contrarian Up signal but with less conviction because it was an exit rather than a fresh buy.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $2.14M lifetime.
- They have a pattern of near-resolution bets, with 20 late trades across 12 markets.
- Selling Down at 80¢ is equivalent to buying Up at 20¢, though this was an exit from an existing position.
$3,789 on Up | Wallet win rate: 91%
Profitable serial crypto trader
Profitable high-volume wallet bought Down before a sharp move higher, alongside a 39x volume spike in the market.
- This bettor is up $372,865 across 1,425 resolved markets.
- They bought Down at 73¢ before it moved to 80¢, showing immediate favorable price action.
- Market volume is running 39x above normal, suggesting broader momentum behind the move.
$1,179 on Down | Wallet win rate: 60%
91% winner buying Down
A highly profitable 91% winner with extensive cross-market history bought $7.1k of Down amid a 39x volume spike and a sharp move toward Down.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $2.14M lifetime.
- They have traded across 264 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge rather than a one-off bet.
- Volume is running 39x above normal, and the market has already moved sharply toward Down.
$7,070 on Down | Wallet win rate: 91%
Top Holders
- 0x3885...ca77 — Down, $15,400 (54% win rate)
- 0x0fe4...01b7 — Up, $15,239 (60% win rate)
- 0xad82...3df1 — Down, $8,377
- 0xe907...cff6 — Up, $6,978 (46% win rate)
- 0x77e7...88ad — Down, $4,086
- 0xa806...2c7c — Up, $3,003
- 0x46c3...bbff — Up, $2,879
- 0xec8f...8df8 — Down, $2,689
- 0x59fc...bcb4 — Down, $2,363
- 0xddcd...725f — Up, $1,912
