Part of: Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2?

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $12,038.

Categories: Crypto, Crypto Prices, Bitcoin, Up or Down, Today 🚀, Recurring, Daily, Daily-Close

Notable Trades

91% serial timer exits Down

Elite 91% win-rate serial timer closed a Down position 44 minutes before resolution, creating a copyable contrarian Up signal but with less conviction because it was an exit rather than a fresh buy.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $2.14M lifetime.
  • They have a pattern of near-resolution bets, with 20 late trades across 12 markets.
  • Selling Down at 80¢ is equivalent to buying Up at 20¢, though this was an exit from an existing position.

$3,789 on Up | Wallet win rate: 92%

Profitable serial crypto trader

Profitable high-volume wallet bought Down before a sharp move higher, alongside a 39x volume spike in the market.

  • This bettor is up $372,865 across 1,425 resolved markets.
  • They bought Down at 73¢ before it moved to 80¢, showing immediate favorable price action.
  • Market volume is running 39x above normal, suggesting broader momentum behind the move.

$1,179 on Down | Wallet win rate: 60%

91% winner buying Down

A highly profitable 91% winner with extensive cross-market history bought $7.1k of Down amid a 39x volume spike and a sharp move toward Down.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $2.14M lifetime.
  • They have traded across 264 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge rather than a one-off bet.
  • Volume is running 39x above normal, and the market has already moved sharply toward Down.

$7,070 on Down | Wallet win rate: 92%

Top Holders

  1. 0x46c3...bbff Outcome 33059818, $2,879
  2. 0x1590...adaf Outcome 33059818, $1,437 (91% win rate)
  3. 0x5f07...5f4b Outcome 33059818, $1,000
  4. 0x2baa...647a Outcome 33059818, $600
  5. 0xf87b...180a Outcome 33059818, $598
  6. 0x5b63...11a4 Outcome 33059818, $392 (69% win rate)
  7. 0x763c...25b2 Outcome 33059818, $375
  8. 0x1827...42bc Outcome 33059818, $300
  9. 0xaf0b...422d Outcome 33059818, $282
  10. 0xeee9...7ecb Outcome 33059818, $280

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Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2?

ResolvedBitcoin Up or Down on May 2?$12,038 tracked3 signalsCryptoCrypto PricesBitcoinUp or DownToday 🚀RecurringHide From NewDailyDaily-Close

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 1 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the May 2 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 1 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the May 2 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Notable Trades

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2?

45d ago

$3,789 on Up at 20¢

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2?

45d ago

$1,179 on Down at 73¢

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2?

45d ago

$7,070 on Down at 80¢

Related Theses