What is the Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20 prediction market?

This market lets traders predict whether Bitcoin will be higher or lower at the May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close compared with the May 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET close.

How does this Bitcoin Polymarket resolve?

It resolves to “Up” if the May 20 noon ET BTC/USDT close on Binance is higher than the May 19 noon ET close. It resolves to “Down” if the May 20 close is lower. If the two close prices are exactly the same, the market rules specify the tie handling.

When does the Bitcoin Up or Down May 20 market resolve?

The listed resolution time is May 20, 2026 at 16:00 UTC, which corresponds to 12:00 PM ET, using the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close.

What smart money activity is tracked for this market?

PolySpotter is tracking $1,200 in smart money and 1 smart money signal for this market. The recent alert mentions a 96% serial cross-market bettor.

Where can I find Bitcoin prediction market odds for May 20?

You can follow this market on PolySpotter to monitor Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20 Polymarket odds, trading activity, and smart money alerts tied to the BTC/USDT daily close.

Part of: Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20?

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20?

This Polymarket market asks whether Bitcoin’s BTC/USDT Binance 1-minute close at 12:00 PM ET on May 20, 2026 will be higher or lower than the 12:00 PM ET close on May 19. It resolves on May 20, 2026 at 16:00 UTC based on the final Binance candle close, with $1,200 in smart money tracked and 1 recent signal highlighted by PolySpotter.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 19 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the May 20 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 19 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the May 20 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,200.

Categories: Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Bitcoin, Up or Down, Today 🚀, Daily, Daily-Close

Notable Trades

96% serial cross-market bettor

A highly proven serial cross-market wallet with a 96% resolved win rate is effectively buying Down on BTC at 40¢.

This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $25K lifetime.
They have traded across 547 events and 1,050 markets, making this a long-running pattern rather than a one-off bet.
Selling Up at 60¢ is equivalent to buying Down at 40¢, against a market currently pricing Down near 38¢.

$1,200 on Down | Wallet win rate: 96%