Part of: Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 20 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the May 21 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 20 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the May 21 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,077.
Categories: Bitcoin, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Today 🚀, Up or Down, Daily, Daily-Close
Notable Trades
Profitable serial crypto trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a large history is buying the high-probability Down side about 104 minutes before resolution, aligned with strong recent market momentum.
- This bettor is up $402K lifetime across more than $18M traded.
- They have traded 88 markets across 59 events, suggesting an established cross-market strategy.
- Bought Down at 85¢ with the market already moving strongly that way.
$1,894 on Down | Wallet win rate: 60%
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Profitable high-volume cross-market trader bought Down on BTC despite the price later moving against their entry.
- This bettor is up $402K lifetime across more than 1,500 resolved trades.
- They have traded across 58 related events, suggesting a repeat strategy rather than a one-off bet.
- Bought Down at 89¢; the market is now around 82¢, offering a better price than their entry.
$2,183 on Down | Wallet win rate: 60%
Top Holders
- 0x0fe4...01b7 — Down, $16,006 (60% win rate)
- 0x55be...dca3 — Up, $13,519 (54% win rate)
- 0xfae4...299f — Up, $7,000
- 0xe6d8...9d21 — Down, $5,425 (74% win rate)
- 0xfdc0...e6a1 — Down, $2,664 (54% win rate)
- 0xfcbe...8f44 — Down, $2,104 (96% win rate)
- 0xbc9b...1b9c — Up, $2,000 (84% win rate)
- 0x9b7a...bc22 — Down, $1,590 (25% win rate)
- 0xbf5f...c035 — Up, $1,500 (26% win rate)
- 0x4605...b773 — Up, $1,469 (51% win rate)
Related Theses
Bitcoin tops $80,000 by May 10
Covers 1 related market
