Part of: Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the May 4 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the May 4 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,766.

Categories: Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Bitcoin, Up or Down, Today 🚀, Daily, Daily-Close

Notable Trades

Profitable serial BTC bettor

Profitable serial cross-market trader is buying Up into a large BTC market volume surge and a 28-point price move.

  • This bettor is up $369K across 1,433 resolved trades, with a long history of betting related markets.
  • The market is seeing an 81x volume spike, and Up has already moved 28 points in the last day.
  • Entry at 78¢ implies they are still comfortable buying after a major move higher.

$1,766 on Up | Wallet win rate: 59%

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Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?$1,766 tracked1 signalCryptoCrypto PricesRecurringHide From NewBitcoinUp or DownToday 🚀DailyDaily-Close
Up
100¢
Down
0¢

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the May 4 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the May 4 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Notable Trades

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?

2026-05-04 02:43 UTC

$1,766 on Up at 78¢

78¢→100¢↑22¢

Related Theses