Part of: Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,766.

Categories: Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Bitcoin, Up or Down, Today 🚀, Daily, Daily-Close

Notable Trades

Profitable serial BTC bettor

Profitable serial cross-market trader is buying Up into a large BTC market volume surge and a 28-point price move.

This bettor is up $369K across 1,433 resolved trades, with a long history of betting related markets.
The market is seeing an 81x volume spike, and Up has already moved 28 points in the last day.
Entry at 78¢ implies they are still comfortable buying after a major move higher.

$1,766 on Up | Wallet win rate: 60%

Top Holders

0x19a5...9cca — Outcome 62038266, $100,000
0x6697...4007 — Outcome 62038266, $22,500
0x2cce...6e85 — Outcome 62038266, $14,977 (69% win rate)
0x0fb8...6ba6 — Outcome 62038266, $5,000
0x6009...acf9 — Outcome 62038266, $4,342
0xeee6...da20 — Outcome 62038266, $2,513
0x7de1...e0de — Outcome 62038266, $1,710 (39% win rate)
0x4c3f...d325 — Outcome 62038266, $1,630
0x1437...acfe — Outcome 62038266, $1,000
0xced4...5055 — Outcome 62038266, $552

Related Theses

Covers 10 related markets

Bitcoin dips but holds $70K

Covers 6 related markets

Bitcoin rallies but misses $70K

Covers 7 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?

ResolvedBitcoin Up or Down on May 4?$1,766 tracked1 signalCryptoCrypto PricesRecurringHide From NewBitcoinUp or DownToday 🚀DailyDaily-Close

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the May 4 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the May 4 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.