Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the May 4 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the May 4 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,766.
Categories: Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Bitcoin, Up or Down, Today 🚀, Daily, Daily-Close
Notable Trades
Profitable serial BTC bettor
Profitable serial cross-market trader is buying Up into a large BTC market volume surge and a 28-point price move.
- This bettor is up $369K across 1,433 resolved trades, with a long history of betting related markets.
- The market is seeing an 81x volume spike, and Up has already moved 28 points in the last day.
- Entry at 78¢ implies they are still comfortable buying after a major move higher.
$1,766 on Up | Wallet win rate: 60%
Top Holders
- 0x3379...f0b4 — Down, $20,175 (28% win rate)
- 0x82a9...c9a1 — Up, $20,000
- 0x8f14...1e77 — Up, $8,295 (63% win rate)
- 0x6e1d...d0fa — Down, $6,364 (58% win rate)
- 0xbf5f...c035 — Up, $5,821 (20% win rate)
- 0xbc9b...1b9c — Up, $5,571 (84% win rate)
- 0x55e2...5fc9 — Down, $4,843 (64% win rate)
- 0x4a07...55d4 — Down, $4,031 (35% win rate)
- 0xec8f...8df8 — Down, $2,822
- 0x2cce...6e85 — Down, $2,743 (66% win rate)
