Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 4 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the May 5 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 4 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the May 5 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,102.

Categories: Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Bitcoin, Up or Down, Today 🚀, Daily, Daily-Close

Notable Trades

Profitable serial crypto trader

Profitable serial cross-market wallet with a 71% record is buying Down in a BTC daily market, though the position size is modest and price has moved slightly against them.

  • This bettor has won 71% of over 14,000 resolved trades and is up $146K lifetime.
  • They have traded across 232 events with nearly $894K in cross-market activity.
  • Entry at 47¢ on Down implies they saw better odds than the market’s current 44¢ price.

$1,102 on Down | Wallet win rate: 71%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe9c6...95c9 Up, $8,848 (49% win rate)
  2. 0x104a...5b05 Down, $3,750 (77% win rate)
  3. 0xfdc0...e6a1 Down, $3,290 (54% win rate)
  4. 0x62b6...5de0 Down, $2,134 (53% win rate)
  5. 0x801d...d8e0 Down, $2,000 (73% win rate)
  6. 0xe57a...08f8 Up, $1,800 (61% win rate)
  7. 0x6e1d...d0fa Up, $1,630 (58% win rate)
  8. 0xbf5f...c035 Up, $1,531 (20% win rate)
  9. 0x7de1...e0de Down, $1,250
  10. 0x1590...adaf Up, $1,091

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

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Covers 1 related market

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Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?

18h$1,102 tracked1 signalCryptoCrypto PricesRecurringHide From NewBitcoinUp or DownToday 🚀DailyDaily-Close
Up
56¢
Down
45¢

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 4 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the May 5 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT May 4 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the May 5 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Price History — “Up
56¢
52¢
48¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?

3h ago

$1,102 on Down at 47¢

47¢45¢2¢

Related Theses