BMW Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Joao Fonseca

This Polymarket tracks who will advance from the BMW Open match between Alejandro Tabilo and Joao Fonseca, scheduled for April 13 at 4:00 AM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, and if the match is not played, ends without a winner, or is delayed more than 7 days, special cancellation rules apply. PolySpotter is tracking $21,823 in smart money activity on this market, including a notable alert that a $4M winner backed Fonseca.

This market refers on the tennis match between Alejandro Tabilo and Joao Fonseca in the BMW Open, scheduled for April 13 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Tabilo' if Alejandro Tabilo advances against Joao Fonseca. This market will resolve to 'Joao Fonseca' if Joao Fonseca advances against Alejandro Tabilo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $31,658.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports bettor

A high-volume serial sports trader with 347 resolved bets and $130k profit just put $21.8k into Joao Fonseca, large enough to help drive a sharp short-term price move.

  • This bettor has 347 resolved bets, wins 63% of the time, and is up $130k overall
  • They just put $21.8k on Joao Fonseca, a meaningful size even in a fairly active market
  • The buy came during a fast 19.5-point move, suggesting strong conviction rather than a passive fill

$21,823 on Joao Fonseca | Wallet win rate: 63%

$4M winner backs Fonseca

A highly active and very profitable sports trader with a 73% win rate just put nearly $10k into Joao Fonseca, accounting for almost the entire market's recent volume.

  • This bettor has won 1,647 of 2,251 resolved trades and is up about $4.0M lifetime.
  • They just put $9.8k on Joao Fonseca at 68¢, nearly matching the market's entire recent trading volume.
  • The bet came from a trader active across 515 events, suggesting a seasoned cross-market operator rather than a one-off punt.

$9,835 on Joao Fonseca | Wallet win rate: 73%

Top Holders

  1. 0x6aee...fad4 Joao Fonseca, $29,791 (63% win rate)
  2. 0x31c1...7047 Joao Fonseca, $15,678 (35% win rate)
  3. 0x2a2c...9bc1 Alejandro Tabilo, $15,000 (53% win rate)
  4. 0x2005...75ea Alejandro Tabilo, $9,517 (53% win rate)
  5. 0x507e...beae Alejandro Tabilo, $8,351 (50% win rate)
  6. 0xee61...debf Alejandro Tabilo, $6,896 (50% win rate)
  7. 0x196e...e9d6 Alejandro Tabilo, $6,362 (52% win rate)
  8. 0x4900...4a72 Joao Fonseca, $4,030 (86% win rate)
  9. 0xfe78...0319 Joao Fonseca, $4,016 (73% win rate)
  10. 0x33c9...6f9a Alejandro Tabilo, $3,997 (75% win rate)

Related Theses

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BMW Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Joao Fonseca

5d$31,658 tracked2 signalsTennisSportsGames
Alejandro Tabilo
16¢
Joao Fonseca
84¢

This market refers on the tennis match between Alejandro Tabilo and Joao Fonseca in the BMW Open, scheduled for April 13 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Tabilo' if Alejandro Tabilo advances against Joao Fonseca. This market will resolve to 'Joao Fonseca' if Joao Fonseca advances against Alejandro Tabilo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Joao Fonseca
88¢
76¢
65¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

BMW Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Joao Fonseca

3h ago

$21,823 on Joao Fonseca at 73¢

73¢84¢11¢

BMW Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Joao Fonseca

4h ago

$9,835 on Joao Fonseca at 68¢

68¢84¢16¢

Related Theses

Tabilo vs Fonseca Prediction Market Odds | PolySpotter