Part of: BMW Open, Qualification: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Alex Molcan

BMW Open, Qualification: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Alex Molcan

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $43,933.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

3-wallet sharp cluster

Three wallets put $16.5k on Alex Molcan, including one high-volume bettor with a 73% win rate and $3.3M profit, creating notable coordinated flow into a liquid tennis market.

  • Three wallets lined up on Alex Molcan for $16.5k total, including a bettor who wins 73% of trades and is up $3.3M.
  • One of the wallets has bet across 327 related markets and 314 events, suggesting a repeatable sports trading process.
  • They entered around 50-56¢ while Alex Molcan now trades at 40¢, so this is a clear contrarian value bet rather than momentum chasing.

$16,519 on Alex Molcan

Proven sharp tennis bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 73% win rate bought Alex Molcan at 53¢ and the market has already moved to 61¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite only one alert type.

  • This bettor wins 73% of 1,729 resolved trades and is up $3.3M lifetime
  • They bought Alex Molcan at 53¢, and the market has already moved up to 61¢
  • This wallet has traded 490 markets across 403 events, showing a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet

$2,444 on Alex Molcan | Wallet win rate: 72%

Sharp bettor backing underdog

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 73% win rate and $3.3M P&L is buying Roberto Carballes Baena at 45¢, making this a credible sharp-bettor signal despite the modest ticket size.

  • This bettor has won 1,254 of 1,728 resolved trades and is up $3.3M lifetime.
  • They have traded across 490 markets in 403 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
  • They bought Roberto Carballes Baena at 45¢, a price that implies roughly a 2.2x payout if correct.

$1,172 on Roberto Carballes Baena | Wallet win rate: 72%

Sharp serial sports bettor

A highly profitable, high-volume serial sports trader with a 73% win rate bought Roberto Carballes Baena at 70¢, and the market has already moved to 76¢.

  • This bettor has won 1,251 of 1,723 resolved trades and is up $3.27M lifetime.
  • They trade heavily across markets with $3.69M tracked volume, which suggests a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
  • Bought Roberto Carballes Baena at 70¢, and the market is already up to 76¢.

$1,047 on Roberto Carballes Baena | Wallet win rate: 72%

Sharp linked-wallet cluster

A linked 3-wallet cluster piled nearly $8.8k into Roberto Carballes Baena at 53-56¢, led by one wallet with a 98% win rate and strong cross-market track record.

  • Three linked wallets all bought Roberto Carballes Baena within 90 seconds, putting in $8.8k at 53-56¢.
  • One of the wallets wins 98% of its bets and is up about $123k, which makes this coordinated buy worth following.
  • The market has already moved from their entry to 64¢, so they got in before the price jumped.

$8,775 on Roberto Carballes Baena

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable serial sports trader with nearly $591k in realized profit bought Roberto Carballes Baena at 43¢ during an extreme pre-match volume spike, and the price has already moved up to 46¢.

  • This bettor has won 61% of 71 resolved markets and is up about $591k lifetime
  • They've traded 47 related markets across 46 events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off punt
  • Bought Roberto Carballes Baena at 43¢ during a huge volume surge, and the market has already moved to 46¢

$3,343 on Roberto Carballes Baena | Wallet win rate: 54%

Profitable whale chasing spike

Surface this because a very large single buy from a highly profitable veteran wallet hit alongside an extreme pre-match volume spike, suggesting informed conviction despite only a moderate composite score.

  • This wallet has over 12,000 resolved bets and is up about $1.15M lifetime
  • They bought $10.6k of Alex Molcan in one shot, about 80% of the market's 24-hour volume
  • The bet landed during a massive volume burst, with trading running over 3,100x the usual pace

$10,632 on Alex Molcan | Wallet win rate: 56%

Top Holders

  1. 0xd48d...5182 Outcome 59616899, $2,690 (98% win rate)
  2. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 59616899, $2,249 (72% win rate)
  3. 0x1a10...0071 Outcome 59616899, $2,229
  4. 0x4b49...0397 Outcome 59616899, $2,000 (77% win rate)
  5. 0xed99...2677 Outcome 59616899, $1,215 (78% win rate)
  6. 0xc181...0992 Outcome 59616899, $1,047 (92% win rate)
  7. 0x710c...78ea Outcome 59616899, $941 (91% win rate)
  8. 0x28bd...4c63 Outcome 59616899, $764
  9. 0xc7d2...8bd3 Outcome 59616899, $755
  10. 0xacb4...7595 Outcome 59616899, $664

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

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Covers 3 related markets

BMW Open, Qualification: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Alex Molcan

ResolvedBMW Open, Qualification: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Alex Molcan$43,933 tracked7 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers on the tennis match between Roberto Carballes Baena and Alex Molcan in the BMW Open, Qualification, scheduled for April 11 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Roberto Carballes Baena' if Roberto Carballes Baena advances against Alex Molcan. This market will resolve to 'Alex Molcan' if Alex Molcan advances against Roberto Carballes Baena. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

BMW Open, Qualification: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Alex Molcan

45d ago

$16,519 on Alex Molcan at 53¢

BMW Open, Qualification: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Alex Molcan

45d ago

$2,444 on Alex Molcan at 53¢

BMW Open, Qualification: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Alex Molcan

45d ago

$1,172 on Roberto Carballes Baena at 45¢

BMW Open, Qualification: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Alex Molcan

45d ago

$1,047 on Roberto Carballes Baena at 70¢

BMW Open, Qualification: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Alex Molcan

45d ago

$8,775 on Roberto Carballes Baena at 55¢

BMW Open, Qualification: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Alex Molcan

45d ago

$3,343 on Roberto Carballes Baena at 43¢

BMW Open, Qualification: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Alex Molcan

45d ago

$10,632 on Alex Molcan at 56¢

Related Theses