Part of: BMW Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Luciano Darderi

BMW Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Luciano Darderi

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $21,415.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

98% win-rate sports sharp

A proven sharp sports trader with a 98% win rate bought Luciano Darderi before a major price jump in a match market seeing unusual pre-event volume.

  • This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up $133k across 171 bets
  • They bought Darderi at 76¢, and the market has already moved to 91¢
  • This wallet has traded 90 sports events with the same strong record, and volume on this market spiked 24.7x

$2,383 on Luciano Darderi | Wallet win rate: 98%

Sharp cluster buying Darderi

Three wallets piled into Luciano Darderi at the same time, led by an elite 98% win-rate serial cross-market bettor, and the market moved sharply right after the buys.

  • A bettor who wins 98% of trades and is up $132.7k led this buy cluster.
  • Three wallets bought the same side within minutes for $5.7k total, pushing the market toward Darderi.
  • Two of the buys got in at 63¢ while the market now sits near 71¢, showing immediate follow-through.

$5,701 on Luciano Darderi

Pro bettor flips sides

A very profitable, high-volume trader with a 73% win rate flipped from a losing Darderi position into Zhizhen Zhang at 39¢, making this a sharp contrarian re-entry worth watching despite only one signal.

  • This bettor has won 1,649 of 2,254 resolved trades and is up $4.0M lifetime
  • They just switched from Darderi into Zhizhen Zhang at 39¢ after closing their earlier position
  • Entry at 39¢ is below the current 40-41¢ market, giving a clean follow price on the underdog

$2,137 on Zhizhen Zhang | Wallet win rate: 71%

98% win-rate sports bettor

A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 98% win rate bought Luciano Darderi despite a fast adverse move, making this a strong follow-worthy sharp-bettor signal even though the ticket size is modest.

  • This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up $132.7k across 170 bets.
  • They have repeated this across 89 different events, which points to a real process rather than a one-off hit.
  • They bought Darderi at 75¢ after a sharp 16-point move, showing conviction even as the market moved against the position.

$1,489 on Luciano Darderi | Wallet win rate: 98%

Pro bettor backing favorite

A high-volume serial sports trader with a 73% win rate and $4.0M profit bought Luciano Darderi after a sharp market move, making this a credible follow despite the modest ticket size.

  • This bettor has won 1,648 of 2,252 resolved trades and is up about $4.0M lifetime
  • They trade heavily across markets at scale, with nearly $4.9M tracked across 635 markets and 521 events
  • They bought Darderi at 78¢ after a fast 16-point move, and the market is now 80¢

$2,110 on Luciano Darderi | Wallet win rate: 71%

93% win-rate sports bettor

A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 93% win rate bought Luciano Darderi at 73¢, making this a credible follow despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 93% of their resolved trades and is up $66.9k overall
  • They have placed $781.7k across 526 markets, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
  • Bought Luciano Darderi at 73¢ in a liquid market, implying they still see value even near a 72% consensus price

$1,648 on Luciano Darderi | Wallet win rate: 92%

86% win-rate sports bettor

A serial cross-market bettor with an exceptional 86% hit rate made a nearly full-day-volume bet on Luciano Darderi, signaling notable conviction despite the high price.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades across 428 picks, a strong track record worth watching.
  • They just put $4.8k on Luciano Darderi, equal to about 2.7x this market's prior 24-hour volume.
  • The trade came in at 73¢ in a thin tennis market, showing clear conviction rather than routine sizing.

$4,846 on Luciano Darderi | Wallet win rate: 86%

86% win-rate serial bettor

A serial cross-market sports bettor with an 86% win rate made a market-dominating buy in a thin tennis market, which is notable despite the trade being modest in size.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades across 416 markets and has been active across 318 events
  • Their $1.1k buy made up 61% of this market's 24-hour volume, showing real conviction in a quiet market
  • They bought Darderi at 73¢, a price that suggests they see the favorite as still mispriced

$1,102 on Luciano Darderi | Wallet win rate: 86%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 46896919, $24,838 (71% win rate)
  2. 0xcf6c...7e66 Outcome 46896919, $10,941 (80% win rate)
  3. 0x2aa1...1ea8 Outcome 46896919, $6,046 (89% win rate)
  4. 0x4b49...0397 Outcome 46896919, $2,000 (77% win rate)
  5. 0xb938...c094 Outcome 46896919, $1,940
  6. 0x160b...4296 Outcome 46896919, $1,918 (76% win rate)
  7. 0xaa69...b4ac Outcome 46896919, $970
  8. 0xb5f6...adc3 Outcome 46896919, $936 (43% win rate)
  9. 0xd4aa...d40c Outcome 46896919, $830
  10. 0x2dc3...9d67 Outcome 46896919, $779 (37% win rate)

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BMW Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Luciano Darderi

ResolvedBMW Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Luciano Darderi$21,415 tracked8 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers on the tennis match between Zhizhen Zhang and Luciano Darderi in the BMW Open, scheduled for April 13 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zhizhen Zhang' if Zhizhen Zhang advances against Luciano Darderi. This market will resolve to 'Luciano Darderi' if Luciano Darderi advances against Zhizhen Zhang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

BMW Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Luciano Darderi

43d ago

$2,383 on Luciano Darderi at 76¢

BMW Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Luciano Darderi

44d ago

$5,701 on Luciano Darderi at 63¢

BMW Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Luciano Darderi

43d ago

$2,137 on Zhizhen Zhang at 39¢

BMW Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Luciano Darderi

44d ago

$1,489 on Luciano Darderi at 75¢

BMW Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Luciano Darderi

44d ago

$2,110 on Luciano Darderi at 78¢

BMW Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Luciano Darderi

44d ago

$1,648 on Luciano Darderi at 73¢

BMW Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Luciano Darderi

44d ago

$4,846 on Luciano Darderi at 73¢

BMW Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Luciano Darderi

45d ago

$1,102 on Luciano Darderi at 73¢

Related Theses