Part of: Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio - More Markets
Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $49,125.
Categories: sea, Sports, Games, Soccer
Notable Trades
Coordinated Under flow with sharp bettor
Four wallets deployed $34,182 toward Under, including a highly profitable 78% bettor, alongside a major event-volume spike and cross-market positioning.
- Four wallets committed $34,182 to Under, creating strong one-sided positioning in a Serie A totals market.
- One bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $1.7M lifetime, while another profitable wallet added Under exposure.
- The market saw a 30x volume spike and activity across five related markets, suggesting a coordinated event thesis.
$34,182 on Under
Sharp bettor backs Over with coordinated flow
A highly profitable, large-sample bettor made a concentrated Over purchase alongside three other wallets despite the market later falling to 48%.
- This bettor wins 78% of 1,564 resolved trades and is up $1.71M lifetime.
- The wallet committed $6,110 to Over at roughly 61¢, joined by three other wallets for $39,004 of one-sided buying.
- The market later sits at 48%, creating a potentially attractive discount if the original Over thesis remains valid.
$6,110 on Over | Wallet win rate: 78%
99% winner joins four-wallet Over cluster
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor added to Over alongside three other wallets amid a major volume spike, making this a strong coordinated-conviction signal despite the price retreat.
- This bettor has won 90 of 91 resolved trades, earning nearly $189,000 on $1.44 million invested.
- Four wallets bought Over for roughly $39,000 during a 645x volume surge, showing unusually concentrated conviction.
- The bettor is adding to an existing Over position despite the market falling from the 58¢ entry toward 48¢.
$4,974 on Over | Wallet win rate: 99%
Extreme volume spike into Over
A $3,859 Over bet coincided with an extreme 910x volume spike and a 43-point daily price increase, though the trader's broad win rate is only modestly above market expectations.
- A $3,859 bet on Over arrived during a 910x surge versus normal 24-hour volume.
- Over has risen 43 percentage points in one day, reaching a 68% market-implied probability.
- The bettor has a large profitable history across 109,494 resolved trades, though its 56% win rate is not an especially sharp standalone signal.
$3,859 on Over | Wallet win rate: 56%
Top Holders
- 0x161a...4103 — Outcome 34374601, $6,978 (95% win rate)
- 0x5811...0976 — Outcome 34374601, $2,185 (45% win rate)
- 0x0e97...8ffa — Outcome 34374601, $943 (40% win rate)
- 0xb8ef...2864 — Outcome 34374601, $721 (80% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 34374601, $635 (65% win rate)
- 0x65b5...aa71 — Outcome 34374601, $505 (70% win rate)
- 0xd06a...101d — Outcome 34374601, $500 (94% win rate)
- 0xb06c...561d — Outcome 34374601, $208
- 0x076d...8d4c — Outcome 34374601, $200 (66% win rate)
- 0x17d7...9e1e — Outcome 34374601, $153 (75% win rate)
Related Theses
France Spain goals arrive early
Covers 3 related markets
