Part of: Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio - More Markets

Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $49,125.

Categories: sea, Sports, Games, Soccer

Notable Trades

Coordinated Under flow with sharp bettor

Four wallets deployed $34,182 toward Under, including a highly profitable 78% bettor, alongside a major event-volume spike and cross-market positioning.

  • Four wallets committed $34,182 to Under, creating strong one-sided positioning in a Serie A totals market.
  • One bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $1.7M lifetime, while another profitable wallet added Under exposure.
  • The market saw a 30x volume spike and activity across five related markets, suggesting a coordinated event thesis.

$34,182 on Under

Sharp bettor backs Over with coordinated flow

A highly profitable, large-sample bettor made a concentrated Over purchase alongside three other wallets despite the market later falling to 48%.

  • This bettor wins 78% of 1,564 resolved trades and is up $1.71M lifetime.
  • The wallet committed $6,110 to Over at roughly 61¢, joined by three other wallets for $39,004 of one-sided buying.
  • The market later sits at 48%, creating a potentially attractive discount if the original Over thesis remains valid.

$6,110 on Over | Wallet win rate: 78%

99% winner joins four-wallet Over cluster

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor added to Over alongside three other wallets amid a major volume spike, making this a strong coordinated-conviction signal despite the price retreat.

  • This bettor has won 90 of 91 resolved trades, earning nearly $189,000 on $1.44 million invested.
  • Four wallets bought Over for roughly $39,000 during a 645x volume surge, showing unusually concentrated conviction.
  • The bettor is adding to an existing Over position despite the market falling from the 58¢ entry toward 48¢.

$4,974 on Over | Wallet win rate: 99%

Extreme volume spike into Over

A $3,859 Over bet coincided with an extreme 910x volume spike and a 43-point daily price increase, though the trader's broad win rate is only modestly above market expectations.

  • A $3,859 bet on Over arrived during a 910x surge versus normal 24-hour volume.
  • Over has risen 43 percentage points in one day, reaching a 68% market-implied probability.
  • The bettor has a large profitable history across 109,494 resolved trades, though its 56% win rate is not an especially sharp standalone signal.

$3,859 on Over | Wallet win rate: 56%

Top Holders

  1. 0x161a...4103 Outcome 34374601, $6,978 (95% win rate)
  2. 0x5811...0976 Outcome 34374601, $2,185 (45% win rate)
  3. 0x0e97...8ffa Outcome 34374601, $943 (40% win rate)
  4. 0xb8ef...2864 Outcome 34374601, $721 (80% win rate)
  5. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 34374601, $635 (65% win rate)
  6. 0x65b5...aa71 Outcome 34374601, $505 (70% win rate)
  7. 0xd06a...101d Outcome 34374601, $500 (94% win rate)
  8. 0xb06c...561d Outcome 34374601, $208
  9. 0x076d...8d4c Outcome 34374601, $200 (66% win rate)
  10. 0x17d7...9e1e Outcome 34374601, $153 (75% win rate)

Related Theses

France Spain goals arrive early

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5

ResolvedBologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio - More Markets$49,125 tracked4 signalsseaSportsGamesSoccer

In the upcoming Serie A game between Bologna FC 1909 and US Sassuolo Calcio, scheduled for September 6 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Bologna FC 1909 and US Sassuolo Calcio combine to score 4 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on legaseriea.it. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Notable Trades

Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5

5d ago

$34,182 on Under at 50¢

Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5

5d ago

$6,110 on Over at 61¢

Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5

5d ago

$4,974 on Over at 58¢

Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5

5d ago

$3,859 on Over at 67¢

Related Theses