Part of: Bonn: Max Dahlin vs Daniel Galan

Bonn: Max Dahlin vs Daniel Galan

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $26,106.

Notable Trades

97% winner joins Galan cluster

A three-wallet Galan cluster includes a highly profitable bettor with a 97% win rate and substantial cross-market experience.

A bettor who wins 97% of 133 resolved positions bought Daniel Galan at 70¢.
Three wallets put $4,011 behind Galan, while one participant has an 81% win rate across 826 bets.
The leading bettor is a serial cross-market trader active across 322 events with $68,246 in reported profit.

$4,011 on Daniel Galan

Proven sharp exits Galan

A highly profitable, serial cross-market bettor is exiting a profitable Daniel Galan position, creating a potentially actionable lean toward Max Dahlin, though the trade appears partly to be routine profit-taking.

This bettor has won 86% of 50 resolved positions and earned about $79,750 in profit.
The $1,260 Daniel Galan sale at 60¢ converts to a 40¢ buy on Max Dahlin in this binary market.
The wallet previously bought Daniel at 34¢, so this may be profit-taking rather than entirely new conviction; it also holds a closed Max Dahlin position at 38¢.

$1,260 on Max Dahlin | Wallet win rate: 88%

Sharp bettor scaling into Max Dahlin

A proven sharp bettor with an 81% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Max Dahlin position despite the market moving lower.

This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $26,303 across 37 positions.
The $4,300 purchase adds to an existing $10,000 Max Dahlin position, showing continued conviction.
The entry at 43¢ implies the bettor valued Max Dahlin well above the current 38% market price.

$4,300 on Max Dahlin | Wallet win rate: 83%

Linked wallets backing Max Dahlin

Four linked wallets, including a highly profitable large-scale bettor, concentrated $13.5K on Max Dahlin during a 218x volume spike, making this a notable coordinated position despite the price falling from their entries.

Four wallets sharing two funders bought $13,499 of Max Dahlin in one concentrated burst.
The trades caused a 218x volume spike in a market with only $23,379 total volume.
The largest bettor is up $30.1M lifetime across 31,780 resolved trades, while two linked wallets added to existing Max Dahlin positions.

$16,535 on Max Dahlin

Top Holders

0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 61194142, $21,270 (64% win rate)
0xf377...4159 — Outcome 61194142, $11,111 (84% win rate)
0xc293...fac3 — Outcome 61194142, $10,134 (86% win rate)
0x8452...a766 — Outcome 61194142, $9,700
0xd27c...c081 — Outcome 61194142, $2,728 (81% win rate)
0x9d94...017d — Outcome 61194142, $2,544
0x4a1e...5b16 — Outcome 61194142, $2,000
0x5b63...11a4 — Outcome 61194142, $1,770 (71% win rate)
0xcc57...2b3c — Outcome 61194142, $1,714 (97% win rate)
0xe9d3...079f — Outcome 61194142, $1,690 (82% win rate)

Related Theses

Hazawa will defeat Dellavedova

Covers 1 related market

Giustino beats Broska

Covers 1 related market

Michael Zheng will beat Bu

Covers 1 related market

Kecmanovic beats Cerundolo

Covers 1 related market

Casper Ruud beats Cerundolo

Covers 1 related market

Choinski beats Hugo Gaston

Covers 1 related market

Cina defeats Halys

Covers 1 related market

Jay Clarke will beat Petr Brunclik

Covers 1 related market

Vacherot beats Collignon

Covers 1 related market

Svajda will beat Bellucci

Covers 1 related market

Bonn: Max Dahlin vs Daniel Galan

ResolvedBonn: Max Dahlin vs Daniel Galan$26,106 tracked4 signalsGamesTennisSports

This market refers to the tennis match between Max Dahlin and Daniel Galan in the Bonn, originally scheduled for July 31, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Max Dahlin' if Max Dahlin advances against Daniel Galan. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Galan' if Daniel Galan advances against Max Dahlin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.