Part of: Bonn: Max Dahlin vs Daniel Galan
Bonn: Max Dahlin vs Daniel Galan
This prediction market tracks whether Max Dahlin or Daniel Galan advances in their Bonn tennis match, scheduled for July 31, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET. PolySpotter monitors the market’s live odds and smart money activity, with $4,011 tracked so far; the market resolves by August 7, 2026, or 50-50 if no winner is determined under the listed rules.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $26,106.
Categories: Games, Tennis, Sports
Notable Trades
97% winner joins Galan cluster
A three-wallet Galan cluster includes a highly profitable bettor with a 97% win rate and substantial cross-market experience.
- A bettor who wins 97% of 133 resolved positions bought Daniel Galan at 70¢.
- Three wallets put $4,011 behind Galan, while one participant has an 81% win rate across 826 bets.
- The leading bettor is a serial cross-market trader active across 322 events with $68,246 in reported profit.
$4,011 on Daniel Galan
Proven sharp exits Galan
A highly profitable, serial cross-market bettor is exiting a profitable Daniel Galan position, creating a potentially actionable lean toward Max Dahlin, though the trade appears partly to be routine profit-taking.
- This bettor has won 86% of 50 resolved positions and earned about $79,750 in profit.
- The $1,260 Daniel Galan sale at 60¢ converts to a 40¢ buy on Max Dahlin in this binary market.
- The wallet previously bought Daniel at 34¢, so this may be profit-taking rather than entirely new conviction; it also holds a closed Max Dahlin position at 38¢.
$1,260 on Max Dahlin | Wallet win rate: 86%
Sharp bettor scaling into Max Dahlin
A proven sharp bettor with an 81% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Max Dahlin position despite the market moving lower.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $26,303 across 37 positions.
- The $4,300 purchase adds to an existing $10,000 Max Dahlin position, showing continued conviction.
- The entry at 43¢ implies the bettor valued Max Dahlin well above the current 38% market price.
$4,300 on Max Dahlin | Wallet win rate: 84%
Linked wallets backing Max Dahlin
Four linked wallets, including a highly profitable large-scale bettor, concentrated $13.5K on Max Dahlin during a 218x volume spike, making this a notable coordinated position despite the price falling from their entries.
- Four wallets sharing two funders bought $13,499 of Max Dahlin in one concentrated burst.
- The trades caused a 218x volume spike in a market with only $23,379 total volume.
- The largest bettor is up $30.1M lifetime across 31,780 resolved trades, while two linked wallets added to existing Max Dahlin positions.
$16,535 on Max Dahlin
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 61194142, $21,270 (63% win rate)
- 0x2c33...0563 — Outcome 61194142, $13,320 (57% win rate)
- 0xf377...4159 — Outcome 61194142, $11,111 (81% win rate)
- 0xc293...fac3 — Outcome 61194142, $10,134 (94% win rate)
- 0x8452...a766 — Outcome 61194142, $9,700
- 0x35f3...092f — Outcome 61194142, $3,122 (81% win rate)
- 0xd27c...c081 — Outcome 61194142, $2,728 (81% win rate)
- 0x9d94...017d — Outcome 61194142, $2,544
- 0x4a1e...5b16 — Outcome 61194142, $2,000
- 0x5b63...11a4 — Outcome 61194142, $1,770 (69% win rate)
Related Theses
Boulter beats Fernandez
Covers 1 related market
Jaqueline Cristian beats Zheng
Covers 1 related market
White Sox beat Braves
Covers 1 related market
Bartunkova beats Vandewinkel
Covers 1 related market
Emerson Jones beats Galfi
Covers 1 related market
Zidansek beats Bondar
Covers 1 related market
Mboko beats Pliskova
Covers 1 related market
Rangers beat the Royals
Covers 1 related market
Astros beat the Angels
Covers 1 related market
Angels beat the Astros
Covers 1 related market
