Part of: Bonn: Max Houkes vs Roberto Carballes Baena
Bonn: Max Houkes vs Roberto Carballes Baena
This prediction market covers the Bonn tennis match between Max Houkes and Roberto Carballes Baena, scheduled for July 27, 2026. It resolves to the player who advances; the market currently has one tracked smart-money signal backing Roberto Carballes Baena, while live market prices are not included in the supplied data. The resolution deadline is August 3, 2026, unless the match is canceled, tied, or remains unresolved under the market rules.
This market refers to the tennis match between Max Houkes and Roberto Carballes Baena in the Bonn, originally scheduled for July 27, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Max Houkes' if Max Houkes advances against Roberto Carballes Baena. This market will resolve to 'Roberto Carballes Baena' if Roberto Carballes Baena advances against Max Houkes. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $15,000.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
96% win-rate serial bettor
A highly proven tennis-market bettor with a 96% win rate and $5.87M profit placed a fresh $5,000 position on Roberto Carballes Baena at 59%.
- This bettor has won 96% of 163 resolved positions and earned $5.87M in profit.
- They placed a fresh $5,000 bet on Roberto Carballes Baena at 59%, despite the market now pricing him at 56%.
- The wallet has traded across 528 events, suggesting a deeply experienced and consistently successful strategy.
$5,000 on Roberto Carballes Baena | Wallet win rate: 96%
96% winner backs Roberto
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 96% win rate and $5.87M profit made a fresh $10,000 two-part bet on Roberto Carballes Baena.
- This bettor has won 156 of 163 resolved positions, with a $5.87M lifetime profit and a 48% average win price.
- They invested $10,000 across two buys on Roberto Carballes Baena at 58–59¢, near the market's current 57% odds.
- The wallet has traded across 527 events and 569 markets, suggesting an established and repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
$10,000 on Roberto Carballes Baena | Wallet win rate: 96%
Top Holders
- 0x5f65...2036 — Roberto Carballes Baena, $17,135 (96% win rate)
- 0x32b4...8b21 — Max Houkes, $6,009 (58% win rate)
- 0x9c76...c926 — Max Houkes, $2,500 (91% win rate)
- 0x5213...6a35 — Max Houkes, $1,341 (74% win rate)
- 0xeaac...d71d — Max Houkes, $1,341 (82% win rate)
- 0xadfb...c2ef — Max Houkes, $846
- 0xfb07...e2cc — Max Houkes, $800
- 0x99f0...9495 — Max Houkes, $768 (49% win rate)
- 0x0d2d...7ff5 — Max Houkes, $690 (59% win rate)
- 0x7547...d158 — Max Houkes, $600
Related Theses
Iraq Norway goal fest
Covers 4 related markets
Belgium dominates Iran early
Covers 4 related markets
Czechia wins big early
Covers 3 related markets
Canada Qatar first-half shootout
Covers 5 related markets
Germany wins high-scoring rout
Covers 4 related markets
France Northern Ireland goals galore
Covers 3 related markets
Norway advances in goalfest
Covers 3 related markets
USA Australia goalfest starts early
Covers 3 related markets
Ann Li beats Alexandrova
Covers 1 related market
Hussey beats Arnaldi
Covers 1 related market
