Part of: Bordeaux: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Raphael Collignon

Bordeaux: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Raphael Collignon

This Polymarket market tracks who will advance in the Bordeaux tennis match between Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Raphael Collignon, originally scheduled for May 17, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by May 24, 2026, and PolySpotter is tracking $12,111 in smart money across 2 signals.

This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Raphael Collignon in the Bordeaux, originally scheduled for May 17, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel Cerundolo' if Juan Manuel Cerundolo advances against Raphael Collignon. This market will resolve to 'Raphael Collignon' if Raphael Collignon advances against Juan Manuel Cerundolo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

10 smart money signals detected, totaling $36,907.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Tennis steam from serial bettors

Coordinated tennis flow from serial cross-market bettors pushed Cerundolo from mid-prices to 100%, though the live edge is likely gone now.

  • Three wallets bet the same way for $7K, all backing Cerundolo as the market rapidly moved to 100%.
  • Two bettors are high-volume sports traders with 155+ and 197+ prior event bets tracked.
  • This looks like a successful steam move, but the market is already at 100% so it is mainly useful to follow or study.

$7,042 on Juan Manuel Cerundolo

80% winner tennis sharp

Sharp, profitable sports bettor with an 80% resolved win rate bought $11k of Raphael Collignon amid a major volume spike and rapid price move.

  • This bettor wins 80% of resolved bets and is up $113k lifetime.
  • They bought $11k of Raphael Collignon at 67–69¢ as the price jumped to 70¢.
  • This wallet is a serial sports trader across 108 events with nearly $1.5M deployed.

$11,000 on Raphael Collignon | Wallet win rate: 80%

Volume spike toward favorite

Surfaced for a 50x pre-match volume spike plus a rapid move toward Collignon, though the specific wallet is active but not clearly profitable.

  • A 50x burst of pre-match trading hit this market, with money pushing toward Raphael Collignon.
  • Collignon’s price jumped about 15 percentage points in under 3 minutes, suggesting fast one-sided momentum.
  • The bettor is highly experienced across 155 events, though their lifetime results are slightly negative.

$1,111 on Raphael Collignon | Wallet win rate: 70%

Tennis momentum spike

Surface as a market-momentum alert: Collignon saw a huge pre-event volume spike and rapid price move, though the wallet itself is not a proven profitable sharp.

  • Collignon drew a 109x pre-event volume spike with 14 trades hitting the market.
  • The price jumped 14.5 percentage points in under 3 minutes, suggesting fast one-way momentum.
  • This bettor is highly active across 155 events and bought Collignon at 67¢.

$1,111 on Raphael Collignon | Wallet win rate: 70%

Profitable tennis cluster

Three profitable, high-volume tennis bettors clustered on Cerundolo, including one wallet up $9.6M lifetime, though the market has moved against their entries so far.

  • Three wallets are all buying Cerundolo, with two winning about 72–73% of resolved bets.
  • The strongest wallet is up $9.6M lifetime across more than 6,000 resolved markets.
  • This is a coordinated $4.4K position at an average entry near 51¢, while Cerundolo is now available around 44¢.

$4,413 on Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Profitable sports regular on momentum

A massively experienced, profitable sports trader bought Collignon during a sharp upward move, though the individual bet size is modest relative to market liquidity.

  • This bettor has 30,675 resolved trades and is up about $2.5M lifetime.
  • Collignon jumped 14.5 percentage points in under 3 minutes, and this wallet bought into the move at 52¢.
  • The market is liquid with a tight 1¢ spread, so the move looks like real momentum rather than just a thin-book spike.

$1,040 on Raphael Collignon | Wallet win rate: 55%

97% win-rate tennis sharp

A highly profitable sports bettor with a 97% resolved win rate bought Cerundolo at 43%, making the wallet track record strong enough to surface despite the price slipping to 40%.

  • This bettor has won 29 of 30 resolved bets and is up $70k lifetime.
  • They have a long cross-market sports track record: 30 events, 97% winners, and $75k traded in similar patterns.
  • Entry at 43¢ implies they see Cerundolo as meaningfully undervalued versus the market near 40¢.

$2,252 on Juan Manuel Cerundolo | Wallet win rate: 97%

Profitable wallets buying together

Three wallets, including a highly profitable whale, bought the same tennis side and helped move Collignon up 14.5 percentage points in minutes.

  • A whale bettor with $9.6M lifetime profit joined this move on Collignon.
  • Three wallets bought the same side for $5.1K, helping push the price up 14.5 points in under 3 minutes.
  • One newer wallet is already up $469 across 9 positions, adding to the coordinated signal.

$5,066 on Raphael Collignon

Profitable new tennis wallet

A newly active, already profitable wallet bought Collignon as the market moved sharply upward, giving this tennis trade a plausible informed-momentum setup despite the modest size.

  • This new wallet is already up $469 after 8 resolved bets and is taking Collignon at 70¢.
  • Collignon jumped 14.5 percentage points in under 3 minutes, suggesting fast one-way momentum.
  • The market is fairly liquid, so a $1.6K buy looks more like conviction than random noise.

$1,572 on Raphael Collignon | Wallet win rate: 63%

Profitable serial sports trader

Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 73% win rate and $350k lifetime profit bought Collignon in a relatively quiet tennis market.

  • This bettor has a huge track record: 499 wins on 681 resolved bets and $350k lifetime profit.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 425 events with $1.8M in detected volume.
  • A $2.3k buy in a $9.4k-volume tennis market shows meaningful conviction on Collignon.

$2,300 on Raphael Collignon | Wallet win rate: 73%

Top Holders

  1. 0x4f75...af7e Raphael Collignon, $21,538 (80% win rate)
  2. 0x2005...75ea Raphael Collignon, $15,360 (55% win rate)
  3. 0x0997...c9f6 Juan Manuel Cerundolo, $12,782
  4. 0x5375...aeea Juan Manuel Cerundolo, $12,777 (44% win rate)
  5. 0x204f...5e14 Raphael Collignon, $7,956 (55% win rate)
  6. 0x8e52...2320 Juan Manuel Cerundolo, $6,640 (97% win rate)
  7. 0xfe78...0319 Juan Manuel Cerundolo, $6,629 (72% win rate)
  8. 0xba8c...e77d Juan Manuel Cerundolo, $5,485 (90% win rate)
  9. 0xcf03...5b17 Raphael Collignon, $5,000
  10. 0xfed8...5339 Juan Manuel Cerundolo, $4,836

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Bordeaux: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Raphael Collignon

5dBordeaux: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Raphael Collignon$36,907 tracked10 signalsTennisSportsGames
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
100¢
Raphael Collignon
0¢

This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Manuel Cerundolo and Raphael Collignon in the Bordeaux, originally scheduled for May 17, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel Cerundolo' if Juan Manuel Cerundolo advances against Raphael Collignon. This market will resolve to 'Raphael Collignon' if Raphael Collignon advances against Juan Manuel Cerundolo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Juan Manuel Cerundolo
102¢
59¢
16¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Bordeaux: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Raphael Collignon

21h ago

$7,042 on Juan Manuel Cerundolo at 56¢

56¢100¢44¢

Bordeaux: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Raphael Collignon

21h ago

$11,000 on Raphael Collignon at 68¢

68¢0¢68¢

Bordeaux: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Raphael Collignon

21h ago

$1,111 on Raphael Collignon at 74¢

74¢0¢74¢

Bordeaux: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Raphael Collignon

21h ago

$1,111 on Raphael Collignon at 67¢

67¢0¢67¢

Bordeaux: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Raphael Collignon

21h ago

$4,413 on Juan Manuel Cerundolo at 51¢

51¢100¢49¢

Bordeaux: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Raphael Collignon

21h ago

$1,040 on Raphael Collignon at 52¢

52¢0¢52¢

Bordeaux: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Raphael Collignon

22h ago

$2,252 on Juan Manuel Cerundolo at 43¢

43¢100¢57¢

Bordeaux: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Raphael Collignon

23h ago

$5,066 on Raphael Collignon at 71¢

71¢0¢71¢

Bordeaux: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Raphael Collignon

23h ago

$1,572 on Raphael Collignon at 70¢

70¢0¢70¢

Bordeaux: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Raphael Collignon

1d ago

$2,300 on Raphael Collignon at 70¢

70¢0¢70¢

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