Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5

In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Detroit Tigers, scheduled for May 6 at 6:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Boston Red Sox and Detroit Tigers combine to score 9 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 9, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $45,444.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Profitable serial last-minute bettor

Serial near-close sports bettor with positive P&L bought the Over minutes before lock, though the edge is modest and the market has since moved against them.

This bettor has made 54 near-close bets across 33 markets and is up $30,722 overall.
They bought Over at 49¢ just 3 minutes before the listed close, a pattern this wallet repeats often.
The market has moved to 44¢, so the same side is now available below their entry.

$2,966 on Over | Wallet win rate: 52%

Sharp sports bettor on Over

Surface: a highly profitable 89% sports bettor and two other wallets bought $9k of Over together near 48–49¢ on an MLB total.

One wallet in the cluster wins 89% of resolved bets and is up $536k lifetime.
Three wallets bought the same Over side for $9.0k at 48–49¢.
The sharp wallet has traded across 26 events with the same 89% hit rate.

$9,007 on Over

89% win-rate sports sharp

Highly profitable sports bettor with an 89% long-run win rate is buying Over 8.5 at 48¢, supported by serial cross-market success and a pre-game volume spike.

This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $536K lifetime.
They have a strong cross-market record across 25 events with the same 89% win rate.
Entry at 48¢ implies they see Over 8.5 as underpriced before first pitch.

$2,400 on Over | Wallet win rate: 89%

Linked MLB under cluster

Three wallets, including a $1.3M profitable lead account and two linked wallets, bought $31k of Under amid a major pre-game volume spike.

Three wallets bought $31k of Under within seconds, with two wallets sharing the same funder.
The lead bettor put in $24.1k and is up $1.3M lifetime on Polymarket.
Market volume spiked 62x before the game, suggesting concentrated pre-event positioning.

$31,070 on Under