Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins

This Polymarket tracks the April 13 MLB matchup between the Boston Red Sox and Minnesota Twins, with shares reflecting the market-implied odds of each team winning. The market resolves to the winning team once the game is completed, while cancellations without a make-up game or a tie resolve 50-50. PolySpotter is currently tracking $4,794 in smart money activity, including notable signals pointing to the Twins.

In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Minnesota Twins, scheduled for April 13 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $122,314.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

91% win-rate sports bettor

A highly proven sports trader with a 91% win rate and $1.13M profit bought Red Sox at 45¢ during a major pregame volume spike, making this a strong sharp-bettor signal despite the market moving against the entry afterward.

  • This bettor wins 91% of their trades and is up about $1.13M across 191 resolved positions
  • They also trade heavily across 323 markets and 301 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
  • They bought Red Sox at 45¢ during a 1242x volume spike, a price that implied a much closer game than the market's current 34¢

$4,794 on Boston Red Sox | Wallet win rate: 91%

7-wallet Twins pile-in

Seven wallets, including two linked by funding source, piled $56.5k into the Twins at 55¢ and immediately pushed the market to 81%, a strong coordinated sports signal despite mixed individual wallet quality.

  • Seven wallets all bought the Twins within minutes, totaling $56.5k, and two wallets share a funder
  • They entered at 55¢ and the market jumped to 81% right after, showing strong conviction and immediate follow-through
  • Several wallets are very active cross-market bettors, including one up $880k lifetime and another winning 62% of 5,248 resolved bets

$56,539 on Minnesota Twins

91% win-rate sports sharp

A proven sharp sports trader with a 91% win rate and $1.13M profit just put $59k into the Red Sox during a major pregame volume surge, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite near-term adverse price movement.

  • This bettor wins 91% of their resolved trades and is up $1.1M across 191 bets.
  • They just put $59k on the Red Sox across two buys, showing real conviction rather than a small flyer.
  • The market saw an 855x volume spike, and their average entry of about 54¢ is still above the current 46¢ price.

$59,038 on Boston Red Sox | Wallet win rate: 91%

High-volume sharp sports bettor

A highly active and very profitable sports trader with 3,646 resolved bets bought Boston in a market seeing an extreme pre-game volume surge, making this a notable sharp-bettor signal despite the price moving sharply against the entry.

  • This bettor has won 67% of 3,646 resolved bets and is up $13.3M lifetime
  • The trade came during an 855x surge in market activity, suggesting this game drew unusual attention before start
  • They bought Boston at 56¢, which is well above the current 34¢ price, so this is a conviction signal but not momentum-confirmed

$1,942 on Boston Red Sox | Wallet win rate: 67%

Top Holders

  1. 0x5d58...9a15 Boston Red Sox, $249,840 (91% win rate)
  2. 0x2a2c...9bc1 Minnesota Twins, $177,733 (53% win rate)
  3. 0xfe78...0319 Minnesota Twins, $18,062 (73% win rate)
  4. 0xead1...c76a Boston Red Sox, $16,998 (48% win rate)
  5. 0xf152...64aa Boston Red Sox, $16,991 (69% win rate)
  6. 0xa5ea...d96a Minnesota Twins, $15,136 (67% win rate)
  7. 0xd48a...6e90 Minnesota Twins, $13,000 (65% win rate)
  8. 0x2005...75ea Minnesota Twins, $8,891 (53% win rate)
  9. 0xd1e6...1dc1 Boston Red Sox, $8,800 (100% win rate)
  10. 0xedf0...1e2a Minnesota Twins, $6,874 (77% win rate)

Related Theses

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Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins

6d$122,314 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball
Boston Red Sox
2¢
Minnesota Twins
98¢

In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Minnesota Twins, scheduled for April 13 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “Minnesota Twins
100¢
69¢
39¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins

5h ago

$4,794 on Boston Red Sox at 45¢

45¢2¢43¢

Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins

5h ago

$56,539 on Minnesota Twins at 55¢

55¢98¢43¢

Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins

5h ago

$59,038 on Boston Red Sox at 54¢

54¢2¢52¢

Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins

5h ago

$1,942 on Boston Red Sox at 56¢

56¢2¢54¢

Related Theses

Red Sox vs Twins Prediction Market Odds | PolySpotter