Part of: Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $87,456.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Four-wallet Boston buying cluster

A sharp pre-event volume surge and four-wallet Boston cluster provide meaningful directional evidence despite the lead wallet's only modest historical edge.

Four wallets bought Boston for a combined $9,486, showing coordinated one-sided conviction.
Trading volume was 416x the historical average ahead of the game, a strong positioning signal.
The lead bettor has a substantial $2.97M lifetime profit, though its 54% win rate is not independently compelling.

$1,556 on Boston Red Sox | Wallet win rate: 54%

Proven bettor caught Toronto move

A highly experienced, profitable trader with 5,770 resolved bets bought Toronto at 52% before the price surged to 72%, alongside a major volume spike.

This bettor has won 64% of 5,770 resolved trades and is up $3.3 million lifetime.
They bought Toronto at 52¢, while the market now prices it around 72¢.
Market volume spiked 40× its historical average, supporting the sharp price move.

$1,600 on Toronto Blue Jays | Wallet win rate: 65%

Four-wallet Boston buying cluster

A sharp pre-event volume surge and four-wallet Boston cluster provide meaningful directional evidence despite the lead wallet's only modest historical edge.

Four wallets bought Boston for a combined $9,486, showing coordinated one-sided conviction.
Trading volume was 416x the historical average ahead of the game, a strong positioning signal.
The lead bettor has a substantial $2.97M lifetime profit, though its 54% win rate is not independently compelling.

$2,649 on Boston Red Sox | Wallet win rate: 54%

Seven-wallet Toronto conviction cluster

Seven wallets deployed $50.4K on Toronto, including several highly profitable bettors with exceptional historical win rates, despite the market moving sharply against their 55-59¢ entries.

Seven wallets bought Toronto for $50,396, while volume spiked 174x above its historical average.
Several participants have outstanding records: 89% across 96 bets and 100% across 67 and 69 bets, each at roughly 56% average odds.
The position is currently marked near 42¢ after entries around 55-59¢, making this a high-conviction but already underwater trade.

$50,396 on Toronto Blue Jays

96% winner re-enters Boston

A highly profitable 96% win-rate bettor re-entered Boston at 45¢ amid a 416x volume spike and coordinated buying by four wallets.

This bettor has won 150 of 156 resolved trades and earned nearly $984,000 in profit.
Four wallets bought Boston for a combined $9,486 while market volume surged to 416 times its historical average.
The bettor previously closed a Boston position and has now re-entered near 45¢, signaling renewed conviction.

$1,065 on Boston Red Sox | Wallet win rate: 94%

Four-wallet Boston buying cluster

A sharp pre-event volume surge and four-wallet Boston cluster provide meaningful directional evidence despite the lead wallet's only modest historical edge.

Four wallets bought Boston for a combined $9,486, showing coordinated one-sided conviction.
Trading volume was 416x the historical average ahead of the game, a strong positioning signal.
The lead bettor has a substantial $2.97M lifetime profit, though its 54% win rate is not independently compelling.

$2,872 on Boston Red Sox | Wallet win rate: 54%

Linked cluster with sharp bettor

A highly coordinated $33.8K Boston position includes six linked wallets and a proven 97%-win-rate bettor, though the market has since fallen sharply against the trade.

Six linked wallets deployed $22,550 through a shared funder, while five wallets bought Boston for $33,837 total.
One participating bettor has won 97% of 31 resolved bets, is up $67,074, and typically finds major pricing edges.
Boston has since fallen from roughly 50¢ entries to 28¢, so the thesis is currently underwater and warrants caution despite the strong coordination signal.

$27,319 on Boston Red Sox

Top Holders

0xa710...23c4 — Outcome 44985584, $71,672 (52% win rate)
0x0e64...336d — Outcome 44985584, $45,000 (49% win rate)
0x99aa...6c5a — Outcome 44985584, $6,000 (93% win rate)
0x573a...dcbf — Outcome 44985584, $5,000
0x0385...acaf — Outcome 44985584, $3,000 (94% win rate)
0xb8c8...d8a4 — Outcome 44985584, $2,955 (92% win rate)
0x8e90...4f65 — Outcome 44985584, $2,814 (69% win rate)
0xf3a6...71bd — Outcome 44985584, $2,750 (72% win rate)
0x5482...b6ee — Outcome 44985584, $2,700
0x3f08...ed44 — Outcome 44985584, $2,500 (50% win rate)

Related Theses

Low-scoring Valkyries keep it close

Covers 3 related markets

France-England will be low-scoring

Covers 2 related markets

Orioles edge Dodgers low-scoring

Covers 3 related markets

Saudi Arabia covers low-scoring match

Covers 3 related markets

Red Sox win a low-scoring nail-biter

Covers 5 related markets

Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays

ResolvedBoston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays$87,456 tracked7 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for August 11 at 7:07PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

BOS

64-55

Final

TOR

58-63

BOS +120TOR -129O/U 6.5

Venue

Rogers Centre, Toronto

Attendance

42,419

Price History — “Toronto Blue Jays”

60¢