Part of: Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays

In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for August 12 at 7:07PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $101,253.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Four-wallet Boston conviction cluster

Four wallets committed $92,000 to Boston while adding to existing positions, creating a notable coordinated but now severely underwater contrarian trade.

  • Four wallets bought $92,000 of Boston, including two historically profitable traders with combined lifetime profits above $4.8 million.
  • The group was adding to substantial existing Boston positions while Boston’s price fell from roughly 53¢ average entry to 6¢.
  • A 164x volume spike and rapid 24-point price drop make this a notable contrarian trade, though the wallets’ mixed history and hedged positions weaken the copy case.

$92,061 on Boston Red Sox

Three profitable bettors add to Toronto

Three highly experienced, profitable sports bettors added $5.7K to Toronto despite the market moving against them, creating a credible but moderate directional signal.

  • Three experienced bettors bought Toronto for $5,670, with lifetime profits totaling more than $5.7 million.
  • Two wallets are adding to substantial existing Toronto positions, signaling continued conviction after the price slipped to 48%.
  • The signal is moderate rather than overwhelming: the market is highly liquid and one bettor has a mixed overall edge versus their typical entry prices.

$5,670 on Toronto Blue Jays

99% win-rate sports bettor

An exceptionally profitable bettor with a 99% win rate and 1,787 resolved positions is buying Toronto at 47%, making this a highly notable sports trade.

  • This bettor has won 1,770 of 1,787 resolved positions, with $16.95 million in reported profit.
  • They are placing a fresh $2,350 bet on Toronto at 47% in a relatively modest-volume baseball market.
  • The wallet has traded across 890 events and 955 markets, providing unusually extensive evidence of a repeatable edge.

$2,350 on Toronto Blue Jays | Wallet win rate: 99%

95% win-rate serial bettor backs Boston

A highly proven bettor with a 95% win rate and substantial positive edge is making a fresh $1,172 bet on Boston at 54%.

  • This bettor has won 95% of 1,669 resolved positions and is up $790,180 lifetime.
  • Their results substantially exceed the average 61¢ winning entry price, indicating a proven edge rather than routine favorite betting.
  • The fresh $1,172 Boston position is priced at 54%, near the market ask, with no major liquidity penalty.

$1,172 on Boston Red Sox | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa8be...0061 — Boston Red Sox, $6,217 (57% win rate)
  2. 0xd38a...8d26 — Boston Red Sox, $5,962 (86% win rate)
  3. 0x5482...b6ee — Boston Red Sox, $3,960
  4. 0x0385...acaf — Boston Red Sox, $3,000 (94% win rate)
  5. 0xb8c8...d8a4 — Boston Red Sox, $2,407 (92% win rate)
  6. 0x8e90...4f65 — Boston Red Sox, $2,293 (69% win rate)
  7. 0xe8c4...395d — Boston Red Sox, $2,171 (95% win rate)
  8. 0x519d...37a1 — Boston Red Sox, $1,650
  9. 0xf9b7...60a4 — Boston Red Sox, $1,000 (66% win rate)
  10. 0xb88a...f6ad — Boston Red Sox, $969 (89% win rate)

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Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays$101,253 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball
Boston Red Sox
0¢
Toronto Blue Jays
100¢

In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for August 12 at 7:07PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

BOS
4
64-56
Final
TOR
6
59-63
BOS -129TOR +120O/U 7Polymarket: 0¢
Venue
Rogers Centre, Toronto
Attendance
42,888

Notable Trades

Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays

2026-08-13 01:35 UTC

$92,061 on Boston Red Sox at 53¢

Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays

2026-08-13 00:41 UTC

$5,670 on Toronto Blue Jays at 47¢

47¢→100¢↑53¢

Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays

2026-08-12 16:55 UTC

$2,350 on Toronto Blue Jays at 47¢

47¢→100¢↑53¢

Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays

2026-08-12 16:38 UTC

$1,172 on Boston Red Sox at 54¢

Related Theses