Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov
This Polymarket covers who will be officially declared the winner of Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London, scheduled for April 11, 2026. The market resolves to Fury or Makhmudov based on the official result, while a draw, no contest, cancellation, or a postponement beyond April 25, 2026 resolves 50-50. Current interest includes $1,827 in tracked smart money and recent sharp underdog-style betting signals.
This market will resolve to "Fury" if Tyson Fury is officially declared the winner of the fight against Arslanbek Makhmudov at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London, England, scheduled for April 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Makhmudov" if Arslanbek Makhmudov is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the broadcast streamed on Netflix; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,942.
Categories: tyson fury, Heavyweight, Boxing, Sports, Combat Sports, Arslanbek Makhmudov
Notable Trades
Profitable longshot bettor
A highly active and profitable cross-market bettor with a 70% win rate bought a longshot outcome that has since collapsed from 17% to 3%, making it a notable sharp contrarian position to watch even with only a moderate composite score.
- This bettor has won 246 of 350 resolved trades and is up about $452k lifetime
- They bought the underdog at 17¢ in a major fight market, implying they saw the true odds much higher
- This wallet trades across 107 markets in 81 events, suggesting a repeatable event-trading process rather than a one-off punt
$1,827 on Makhmudov | Wallet win rate: 70%
Sharp dog-bet cluster
Three wallets piled into the 17¢ Makhmudov side during a major volume spike, including one highly profitable bettor and one perfect 25-for-25 wallet, making this a notable contrarian cluster worth watching.
- Three wallets all bought Makhmudov at 17¢ for $6.8k total, a clear coordinated shot on the underdog.
- The strongest wallet in the group is up $452k with a 70% win rate, and another is 25-for-25 with $86k profit.
- They bought into a 31x volume spike, and 17¢ implies they think the underdog has much better than a 1-in-6 chance.
$6,800 on Makhmudov
25-0 sharp underdog bet
A wallet with a perfect 25-for-25 resolved record and strong edge bought the underdog in a spiking fight market at 17¢, making this a sharp contrarian sports bet worth surfacing.
- This bettor has won 25 of 25 resolved markets and is up $86k, which makes their trades worth tracking
- They bought Makhmudov at 17¢ in a fight market that saw volume jump 40.8x above normal
- The market is now 12¢, so they entered before the latest move and are taking a clear underdog shot
$3,315 on Makhmudov | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0x9f2f...2ca8 — Makhmudov, $224,034 (52% win rate)
- 0xc29e...a2ca — Fury, $178,328 (44% win rate)
- 0x8372...5223 — Fury, $77,618 (98% win rate)
- 0x2037...473d — Fury, $31,862 (94% win rate)
- 0x8c92...ebd9 — Fury, $25,605 (93% win rate)
- 0x9f9c...34d9 — Fury, $23,695 (44% win rate)
- 0xe8c2...3048 — Makhmudov, $22,720 (100% win rate)
- 0x186b...641c — Makhmudov, $21,596
- 0x71ca...3501 — Makhmudov, $10,834 (70% win rate)
- 0x5f45...a77a — Fury, $10,052 (62% win rate)
