Part of: Bucharest Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

Bucharest Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $24,315.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

83% win-rate sharp bettor

A highly profitable serial bettor with an 83% win rate bought Daniel Merida Aguilar before a fast 22-point move, suggesting sharp momentum worth tracking.

  • This bettor wins 83% of 1,208 resolved trades and is up about $375k lifetime
  • They bought at 69¢ and the market moved to 98¢ within minutes, a 29-point jump
  • This wallet has traded 1,157 markets across 921 events, so this is a proven repeat operator

$1,387 on Daniel Merida Aguilar | Wallet win rate: 83%

5-wallet tennis pile-in

Five wallets piled into Daniel Merida Aguilar in a short burst, driving a 24-point price jump, and the cluster includes a proven 83% win-rate bettor plus a heavily flagged new wallet.

  • Five wallets bought the same side for $12.4k in minutes, and the price jumped from the low 50s to 74¢
  • One wallet wins 83% of 1,208 resolved bets and is up $375k, giving this cluster real credibility
  • A new 2-day-old wallet has already been flagged 8 times for large bets, suggesting aggressive fresh conviction

$12,393 on Daniel Merida Aguilar

New wallet joins 4-wallet push

A very new wallet with repeated large bets joined a 4-wallet one-sided push into Fabian Marozsan during a major pre-match volume spike, suggesting coordinated conviction despite the weak individual track record.

  • This 2-day-old wallet has already made 8 large flagged bets totaling $23.5k, showing aggressive early conviction
  • Four wallets piled into Fabian Marozsan for $11.2k total as market activity jumped 54.7x above normal
  • This trade was effectively a buy on Fabian at 54¢, a price that has already moved to about 68¢ implied by the opposing side

$3,140 on Fabian Marozsan | Wallet win rate: 50%

93% win-rate cluster bettor

A very high-win-rate sports bettor with broad cross-market success joined a 4-wallet coordinated buy cluster on Fabian Marozsan during an unusual volume surge, making this a notable trade to watch despite the market moving sharply against the entry.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and has made about $66k profit across 345 bets
  • Four wallets bought the same side for $11.2k total during a 54.7x volume spike in this match market
  • They entered at 54¢, so copying only makes sense if Fabian can still be bought cheaply after the sharp drop

$1,972 on Fabian Marozsan | Wallet win rate: 92%

Sharp dog bet

A highly profitable sports bettor with a 76% win rate and $3.6M P&L just made a $5.4k contrarian buy on the underdog in a relatively quiet tennis market.

  • This bettor wins 76% of 2,229 resolved trades and is up $3.6M lifetime
  • They bought Daniel Merida Aguilar at 27¢, a clear underdog price that implies strong disagreement with the market
  • The $5.4k order was bigger than the market's prior 24-hour volume, showing real conviction in a quieter market

$5,423 on Daniel Merida Aguilar | Wallet win rate: 76%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 86358854, $25,163 (72% win rate)
  2. 0x7760...21f0 Outcome 86358854, $4,328 (67% win rate)
  3. 0xc181...0992 Outcome 86358854, $3,653 (92% win rate)
  4. 0xd48d...5182 Outcome 86358854, $2,200 (98% win rate)
  5. 0x33c9...6f9a Outcome 86358854, $2,141 (76% win rate)
  6. 0x081e...f76e Outcome 86358854, $1,233 (92% win rate)
  7. 0x20ba...6c27 Outcome 86358854, $477
  8. 0x5b63...11a4 Outcome 86358854, $394 (70% win rate)
  9. 0xc367...a0b4 Outcome 86358854, $372
  10. 0x661d...4dc6 Outcome 86358854, $350 (68% win rate)

Related Theses

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Bucharest Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

ResolvedBucharest Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Daniel Merida Aguilar$24,315 tracked5 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers on the tennis match between Fabian Marozsan and Daniel Merida Aguilar in the Bucharest Open, scheduled for April 4 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fabian Marozsan' if Fabian Marozsan advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Fabian Marozsan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Bucharest Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

46d ago

$1,387 on Daniel Merida Aguilar at 69¢

Bucharest Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

46d ago

$12,393 on Daniel Merida Aguilar at 70¢

Bucharest Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

46d ago

$3,140 on Fabian Marozsan at 54¢

Bucharest Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

46d ago

$1,972 on Fabian Marozsan at 54¢

Bucharest Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

46d ago

$5,423 on Daniel Merida Aguilar at 27¢

Related Theses